St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24
At 7:15 PM from American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an NL Central matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Brewers have a record of 23-15, while the Cardinals are just 15-23 overall.
Freddy Peralta is starting for the Brewers, and he is up against Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals. Milwaukee is the favorite at -174 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -174
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, May 11th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Cardinals by a score of 11-2. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Cardinals and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -124 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Robert Gasser for the Brewers and Lance Lynn for the Cardinals. Gasser only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with four strikeouts. On the other side, Lynn was tagged for four runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-five hitters did the most damage, as Willy Adames, Jake Bauers, Christian Yelich, and Rhys Hoskins each had two RBIs. Adames, Yelich, and Sal Frelick each scored two runs for the Brewers’ offense.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are looking to snap a six-game losing streak, which includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers. Currently, the Cardinals are 5th in the NL Central with an 0-5 record in the division. Overall, they are 15-23, putting them eight games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead.
At home, the Cardinals are just 6-11 this year, and they are only one game above .500 at 9-12 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 5-15 this season. As the road underdog, the Cardinals are 6-9 this year, and they are 7-11 as the underdog overall. St. Louis’ overall series record is 5-7, and they have dropped three straight series.
As a road team, the St. Louis Cardinals have a run line record of 10-11, with an average run margin of -1.3 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 18 of their 38 games overall, and are 8-9 against the run line at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games, and are 7-13 against the run line as the favorite this season.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 15-22. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, but when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit just twice in 11 games. Overall, 68.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their over streak is at three games.
Right-hander Kyle Gibson is getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made five quality starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.68. In his 44 innings of work, Gibson has allowed six home runs and is averaging 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision against the Mets, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Gibson has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.
So far this season, the Cardinals have really struggled to score runs, as they are averaging just 3.4 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. Their team batting average of .215 is also one of the worst marks in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is that they have three players who have gone deep at least five times this season, but all three of these players are also batting under .200 for the season.
Nolan Arenado and Willson Contreras have been two of the Cardinals’ most consistent hitters this season, as both are batting .280. Arenado has two homers and a team-high 20 RBIs, while Contreras has six homers and 12 RBIs. Arenado has gone just 1/7 in his last three games, while Contreras has gone 3/9 in his last three games.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 23-15, good for 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a half-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in the NL Central, putting together a record of 10-5. The Brewers have won two straight games and have won four straight at home, where they are 9-7 this year.
So far, the Brewers have been really good in day games, going 15-6 this season. As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 10-6 and 13-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 6-4-2 and have dropped two straight series.
The Brewers have been a solid run line team this season, going 20-18 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 14-8 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 6-10 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 15-7 against the run line in those games.
The Milwaukee Brewers have played in 27 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, and the over has hit in 19 of those games. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and they have a record of 23-15 on the over/under for the season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-4, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.
Milwaukee is sending Freddy Peralta to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.49 ERA. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Cubs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Peralta has three quality starts this year and is averaging 11.64 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has 50 strikeouts. Peralta didn’t allow a run in his last outing vs. the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up four hits.
William Contreras has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, going 11/34 in his last nine games with seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .340 and leads the team with 30 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been swinging the bat well, as he has a four-game hitting streak and is 8th in the league with five homers. However, he is batting just .230 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers have been one of the league’s best offenses so far, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They also come into the game with the league’s 4th best team batting average, at .256. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage.