Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 5/11/24

At 7:15 PM from Oracle Park in San Francisco, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Giants. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Reds are 17-21, and the Giants are 17-23. Nick Lodolo gets the start for the Reds, and he is facing off against Mason Black for the Giants.

Cincinnati is the favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs. FOX is handling TV coverage for tonight’s game.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -105

This game will be played at Oracle Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, May 11th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS GIANTS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Reds vs Giants series came right down to the end, as the Reds picked up a 4-2 win on the road. Heading into the game, they were at +121 on the money line.

Cincinnati’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring one run in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Giants got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 5th.

Logan Webb started for the Giants and went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 17-21 overall and trails the Brewers by six games in the NL Central. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. The Reds have lost eight of their last ten games and have taken a four-game losing streak in series into today’s game.

At home, the Reds are 9-13 and are an even 8-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Reds are 10-9 this year and 7-12 as the underdog. Cincinnati has lost five straight games as the favorite.

The Reds have been a tough team to gauge on the run line this season, as they are right at .500 overall with an 18-20 record. They have been much better on the run line on the road, going 10-6 compared to just 8-14 at home. They have been favored in 19 games this season and have gone 9-10 on the run line in those contests.

The Reds have played 29 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 18-18. The average over/under line in their games this season is 9 runs, and their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-4.

Nick Lodolo is getting the start for the Reds on the road against the Giants. Lodolo is coming off a start in which he took the loss but still struck out 6 batters. In his first outing of the season, he picked up the win vs. the Padres, striking out 11 in 7 innings.

Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds this season, batting .271 with a team-high eight home runs. His 20 RBIs are also 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Spencer Steer has been a solid run producer for the Reds, as his 27 RBIs are 7th in the league, and he has four homers to go along with a batting average of .246.

Jeimer Candelario has been better of late for the Reds, going 6/22 in his last six games with a home run. However, for the season, he is batting just .209. The Reds will need him to pick things up, as he is 2nd on the team with four homers.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco is 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by nine games. Overall, they are 17-23 and have dropped two straight games. The Giants lost the series opener vs. the Reds, and their record in the NL West is 8-9 this year.

At home, the Giants are 9-8 this season compared to an 8-15 mark on the road. San Francisco has dropped seven of their last ten games overall. As the underdog, the Giants are 5-12 this year, which includes losing four straight as the underdog. When favored, the Giants are 12-11 this year.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Giants, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 18-22 against the run line overall, but they’ve been better on the road (12-11) than at home (6-11). They’ve been a better bet as the underdog (10-7) than as the favorite (8-15). Their average run differential is -1.1 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by an average of 1.4 runs per game on the road and 0.7 runs per game at home.

The Giants have had 23 games with higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. Their over/under record is 18-20, and they are 7-6 when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their last game against the Reds went under the 7-run line.

Mason Black and the Giants will be hosting the Reds today. Black is coming off a rough outing in his first start of the season, as he took the loss against the Phillies. In that game, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 5 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks. He did strike out 4 batters.

Michael Conforto and Thairo Estrada have been two of the Giants’ most consistent hitters this season, with Conforto batting .277 and Estrada at .248. Conforto has been hot of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games with two homers. Estrada has also been swinging a good bat, going 10/32 in his last eight games. Estrada’s 21 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league.

As a team, the Giants are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the MLB.