Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24
At 4:10 PM ET, the Braves and Dodgers will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and features a Braves club that is 20-11, compared to the Dodgers at 22-13. James Paxton will go for the Dodgers, while the Braves are sending Max Fried to the mound.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Braves are the favorite on the money line at -135. This game can be seen on BSSE.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline +113
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 ET on Sunday, May 5th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Dodgers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a four-home run performance from the Dodgers’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -195 on the money line.
Los Angeles got to Braves starter Bryce Elder, who gave up seven earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Dodgers, they got a good outing from Tyler Glasnow, who gave up just two earned runs across seven innings of work and got the win.
Mookie Betts, Max Muncy, Shohei Ohtani, and Andy Pages each homered for the Dodgers’ offense. Betts, Ohtani, and Pages each had two RBIs. Ronald Acuna Jr. hit the game’s other two-run homer for the Braves.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 20-11, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 1.5 games. The Braves dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays and are currently on a two-game losing streak. So far, they have been good against other NL East teams, going 8-4.
At home, the Braves have been really good, going 11-4 this season. They have also been above average on the road, coming in with a record of 9-7. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 20-9 and are 0-2 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 7-2-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 9-7 overall. Their average run margin is 1.7 runs per game, and they are 6-9 against the run line at home. So far this season, they have been favored in 29 games and have covered the run line in 14 of those contests.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is right in line with the Braves’ season average of 9.2 runs per game. Atlanta’s over/under record for the season is 12-17, and they have gone 2-5-1 in games with an over/under line of 9 runs. So far this season, the Braves have had 10 games with higher over/under lines than 9 runs, and 13 games with lower lines.
Max Fried has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 4.02. He has made three quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. Fried’s ERA on the road is 11.83, and he has a record of 1-0 away from home. In his last outing, Fried didn’t allow a run in six innings of work, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight starts. Fried’s WHIP for the season is 1.18.
As a team, the Braves are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. This has been the case both at home and on the road. Overall, they are one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a batting average of .260, which is 2nd in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .329 is 5th in the league.
Marcell Ozuna has been the league’s top run producer so far, with 32 RBIs, and his 9 homers are the 2nd most in the league. Ozuna is also hitting .299 for the season. Michael Harris II has been a good surprise for the Braves, as he is batting .278 with three homers. Over the team’s last five games, Austin Riley is hitting .286 with one home run, and Ronald Acuña Jr. has gone 8/22.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles will be at home today, hosting the Braves with an overall record of 22-13, good for 1st place in the NL West. The Dodgers hold a 4.5 game lead over the Padres for the division lead. The Dodgers have won three straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10.
So far, the Dodgers have gone 7-4 against other teams in the NL West. They have been good both at home and on the road this year, with an 11-8 record at home and an 11-5 mark on the road. Los Angeles has been really good in night games this year, going 14-6.
The Dodgers are 17-18 against the run line this season. They are 7-12 against the run line at home and 10-6 on the road. Their average run differential is +1.7 runs per game overall, +1.3 runs per game at home, and +2.2 runs per game on the road. They are 17-17 against the run line as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog. In their wins, they are winning by an average of 4.2 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of -2.5 runs per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-15. The over/under line for today’s game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 9 runs. So far this season, the average over/under line in Dodgers games has been 9 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 9 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. Overall, 71.4% of Dodgers games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.
James Paxton is getting the start for the Dodgers at home against the Braves. He is coming off a win in his last outing, where he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs on 6 hits. He has yet to go more than 6 innings in a start this season.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Not only are they the top-scoring team in the league, but they also lead the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. The Dodgers have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per game.
Max Muncy and Shohei Ohtani are both tied for the team lead with eight homers, and Muncy is also batting .262 for the season. Muncy has four homers in his last six games, while Ohtani has gone deep four times in his last eight games. Shortstop Mookie Betts is batting .360 and is 3rd in the league with 27 RBIs.