Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24
The Orioles and Reds are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and features a Reds club that is 16-17 vs. an Orioles team that is 22-11. Baltimore is sending Dean Kremer to the mound vs. Nick Lodolo for the Reds.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Orioles are the slight favorite on the money line at -106. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by MASN.
CINCINNATI REDS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -114
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, May 5th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Reds series. Baltimore went into the matchup as +101 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. The Orioles only had two more hits than the Reds and struck out 13 times, but still picked up the win.
Cincinnati had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Yennier Cano closed things out for the Orioles. Andrew Abbott got the start for the Reds and went five innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.
John Means put together a good outing for the Orioles, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run. Means finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk.
Orioles Records & Stats
Baltimore is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the AL East with a record of 22-11. So far, they have gone 6-1 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles are currently leading the division by one game over the Yankees. Their three-game winning streak has come on the road, and they are 10-4 on the road this year.
The Orioles have been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 16-10. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-1 this season. Baltimore is currently in the middle of a series vs. the Reds, and they have an overall series record of 7-3 this year. Looking at how they have done in day games, the Orioles are 12-5 this year. In their last 10 games overall, they have gone 7-3.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 20-13 overall. They are 11-8 against the run line at home and 9-5 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 6-1 as an underdog. In their wins, they are covering the run line by an average of 3.7 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-14. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 9 runs. The Orioles have gone under the over/under line in their last two games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season.
Through six starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.19 for the Orioles. He has made two quality starts this season and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Yankees, Kremer went seven innings, giving up just two hits and picking up the win. Kremer’s ERA at home is 7.04, compared to 2.71 on the road. So far, he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Opposing batters are hitting .209 off the right-hander this season.
So far this season, the Orioles have been the league’s top home run-hitting team, and they have also been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5.1 runs per game. This has them 4th in the league in scoring. Baltimore is also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. One area they have struggled in is drawing walks, as they are 24th in the league in that category.
Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ top hitters this season, batting .321 with five homers and 20 RBIs. He has also gone 7/20 in his last five games, including one home run. Gunnar Henderson comes into the game with a league-leading 10 homers, and he is also 6th in the league with 24 RBIs. Jorge Mateo has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/14 with two homers in his last five games.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today as they host the Orioles. The Reds are 16-17 overall and trail the Brewers by 4.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. Cincinnati has dropped two straight as the underdog and are just 2-3 at home as the underdog this year.
The Reds have dropped three straight at home, and they are 9-9 at home overall. On the road, Cincinnati is 7-8 this year. Their overall record is a result of going just 3-7 over their last ten games. So far, they have been a bit better than average as the favorite, going 10-6, while they are 6-11 as the underdog this year.
The Reds have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 17-16 overall. They have been better on the road, going 9-6, compared to 8-10 at home. They have been favored in 16 games and have gone 9-7 in those contests. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, compared to -3.2 in losing games.
The Cincinnati Reds have played 34 games this season, with 17 going over the total and 15 going under. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 9 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs. However, when the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Reds have gone under in all six games. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their over/under record for the season is 17-15.
Nick Lodolo has been on a tear to start the season, and he’s coming off a dominant performance against the Padres, in which he struck out 11 batters in 7 innings. He has yet to allow more than one earned run in a start this season, and he has 31 strikeouts in just 18 2/3 innings pitched.
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top hitters this season, batting .278 with a team-leading eight home runs and 19 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 6/30 in his last eight games. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Steer is batting just .246, and Benson is hitting only .200.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a pretty consistent offense, as they are 11th in home runs and have the league’s 11th scoring offense. However, they are batting just .213 as a team and have the 24th ranked on-base percentage in the league.