Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24
At 2:10 from Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an American League matchup between the Mariners and Astros. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Mariners have the better record of 18-15, while the Astros are just 12-21. Seattle is currently in first place in the AL West.
Looking at the money line odds, the Astros are at -120 compared to the Mariners at +100. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros, while the Mariners are going with Bryce Miller.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -120
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Sunday, May 5th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mariners to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Seattle cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their five runs. As for the Astros, they only had three hits and didn’t score a run until the 6th inning.
Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going eight innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Framber Valdez had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.
At the plate, Cal Raleigh and Luis Urias each homered for the Mariners. Raleigh, Mitch Garver, and Ty France each had two hits and two RBIs. Jorge Polanco also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Seattle’s offense.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle currently leads the AL West by a half-game over the Rangers and will be on the road to face the Astros today. The Mariners’ overall record is 18-15, and they are 3-2 against other teams in the AL West. Seattle has won five straight series and has an overall series record of 5-4-1 this season.
At home, the Mariners have gone 11-8 compared to 7-7 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting together an 11-7 mark. As the underdog, the Mariners are 7-8 this season. They come into today’s game having gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Mariners are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, as they are 16-17 on the season. They are 7-7 against the run line on the road, and their average run margin is 0.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 8-7 as the underdog.
Seattle’s over/under record for the season is a dismal 7-24, and their games have averaged just 6.8 runs per game. The Mariners have seen their last 11 games go under the total, and their games have had an average total of just 8 runs. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their average line of 8 runs per game.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today as he faces the Astros on the road. Through six starts, Miller has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.04. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and coming away with a no-decision. In that outing, he had 10 strikeouts. Miller’s ERA at home is 2.5, compared to 2.25 on the road. So far, he has allowed five homers and is averaging 9.93 strikeouts per nine innings.
Seattle’s offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.1 runs per contest. The Mariners are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they have the 26th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Julio Rodríguez and Jorge Polanco are both looking to keep their hitting streaks going into today’s game, with Rodriguez having a three-game streak and Polanco coming in with a six-game streak. Polanco has been hot of late, going 8/30 in his last eight games with two homers. For the season, he is batting just .193. Cal Raleigh leads the team with seven homers but is batting just .210.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston is currently six games behind the Mariners in the AL West, heading into today’s matchup vs. the Mariners. The Astros are 12-21 overall and have gone 5-4 against other teams in their division. So far, they have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Mariners.
As the favorite, the Astros have struggled this year, going 10-18, and they are 7-8 as the favorite at home. As for their overall home record, they are 7-11 compared to 5-10 on the road. So far, they have not been very good in day games, going 3-8.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.0 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Their run line record is 12-21, and they are 7-11 against the run line at home. They are 9-19 against the run line as the favorite, and 3-2 as the underdog.
The Astros have played 31 games this season, and 23 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 10-21. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 2-4. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their over/under record is 12-19 when the line is set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Hunter Brown is looking to pick up his first win of the season for the Astros today, as he comes into the game with a record of 0-4 and an ERA of 9.78. Opponents have hit .346 off Brown this season, and his WHIP is currently 2.22. Brown’s only quality start came on April 16th against the Braves, where he went six innings and gave up two earned runs. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two homers and six earned runs. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Astros, going 13/42 in his last 10 games, with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .338 and is 2nd on the team with seven homers. Kyle Tucker is also near the top of the league in homers, as his eight long balls are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the league. He also comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .274.
As a team, the Astros are 2nd in the league in batting average and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. At home, they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest.