Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 5/5/24

At 2:10 from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an American League matchup between the Rangers and Royals. The forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid 50s. Texas comes in with a record of 18-16, while the Royals are 20-14.

Jon Gray will start for the Rangers, and he is up against Daniel Lynch IV for the Royals. Looking at the money line odds, the Rangers are at -129 compared to the Royals at +108. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +108

This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 2:10 ET on Sunday, May 5th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS ROYALS:

• We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a five-run 9th inning for the Rangers’ offense, they cruised to a 15-4 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rangers were at -109 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Dane Dunning for the Rangers, and he went just 4 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and struck out four. Josh Sborz got the win out of the bullpen. Michael Wacha only went 3 2/3 innings for the Royals, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits.

Kansas City actually outhit the Rangers in the game 9 to 17, but the Royals’ offense went silent after scoring two runs in the 5th. As for the Rangers, they scored in every inning except the 2nd and 5th.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas is on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are 18-16 overall, putting them just a half-game behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in divisional games. The Rangers are currently on a two-series winning streak, and their overall series record is 5-4-1.

The Rangers have been pretty even at home, going 10-9, and they are 8-7 on the road. So far, they have been both the favorite and underdog nine times, and they are 1-1 as the road favorite. Texas’ overall last 10 record is 6-4.

When the Texas Rangers are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, going 8-7. The Rangers’ average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2. Their overall run line record is 16-18, and they are 10-7 against the run line as the underdog.

When the Rangers and Royals met on Wednesday, the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. The teams combined for 19 runs, easily surpassing the line. This was the fourth time in the last 10 games that the Rangers played in a game with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Overall, the Rangers’ games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game this season. Their over/under record on the season is 14-19.

Right-hander Jon Gray gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 2.48. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run on three hits. Gray has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.64 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of two home runs. Gray has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 0.75 compared to 3.43 at home.

Adolis Garcia has been one of the league’s top power threats so far this season, as his eight home runs are 3rd best in the league and lead the Rangers. He also comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak. Garcia is batting .289 for the season and has gone 6/24 in his last seven games. Evan Carter and Marcus Semien are also on five-game hitting streaks, with Carter hitting .333 over his last eight games and Semien at just .235.

As a team, the Rangers are 10th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 9th best home run total and are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league.

Royals Records & Stats

Kansas City is hosting the Rangers today with an overall record of 20-14, which has them 2nd in the AL Central. The Royals are 1.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead, and they are 8-5 in AL Central matchups this year. So far, they have gone 13-6 at home compared to 7-8 on the road.

The Royals have taken two straight games as the underdog, and they are 13-10 overall as the underdog this year. As the favorite, Kansas City has gone 7-4. The team’s overall series record is 5-5, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 22-12 overall. They are 12-7 on the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of +1.7 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 16-7 on the run line, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.

So far this season, the Royals have played in 32 games. In 11 of those games, the combined run total has exceeded the over/under line set by oddsmakers. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and the average combined run total in their games has been 8 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 10 of the 14 games. Overall, the over/under record for the Royals this season is 11-21.

On the mound for the Royals today is left-hander Daniel Lynch IV. Last season, Lynch made nine starts and finished with a record of 3-4. His ERA for the season was 4.64, and he made four quality starts. In terms of his WHIP, Lynch finished the season at 1.26. For the year, he allowed a total of nine home runs and finished with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.1. His average walks per game was 1.8, and his strikeouts per nine innings were 5.85.

Michael Massey is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for the Royals, and over his last five games, he has gone 8/20 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, Salvador Perez is hitting .339 with a team-high eight homers and 30 RBIs, while Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .313 and has four homers. Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino also have four homers but are batting just .241 and .225, respectively.

As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams. They are also one of the league’s toughest teams to strike out, but they don’t draw a lot of walks. At home, the Royals are averaging 5.2 runs per contest.