Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

At 4:10 PM from PETCO Park in San Diego, we have an interleague matchup between the Blue Jays and Padres. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Blue Jays are 12-9, while the Padres are just below .500 at 11-12. Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres, and he is facing off against Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays.

San Diego comes into this one as the favorite, with money line odds of -128, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by SNET.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -128

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Toronto picked up a 5-2 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -124 on the money line.

The Blue Jays got to Padres starter Randy Vásquez, who gave up five earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. On the other side, José Berríos put together a good outing for the Blue Jays, getting the win after going six innings and not giving up a run.

Daulton Varsho hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had a two-hit game for Toronto.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is currently on a two-game winning streak, taking the first two games of their series with the Padres. In the AL East, they are two games behind the Yankees and are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 5-5 against their divisional opponents.

At home, the Blue Jays have been good, putting together a record of 6-3. And they have been equally as good on the road, as they are one game above .500 at 6-5. Toronto has an overall record of 12-9 this season.

The Blue Jays have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 12-9 overall. They are 7-5 against the run line on the road and have covered in two straight on the road. Toronto is 8-4 against the run line as the favorite and 4-5 as the underdog. The Blue Jays have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game this season.

After a string of unders, the Blue Jays have gone under in two straight games. The Blue Jays’ over/under record for the season is 9-11, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 8 runs, which is right around their average line for the season. The Blue Jays have had 10 games with higher over/under lines than 8 runs this season, and they have gone 4-3-1 in games with an 8-run line.

Chris Bassitt and the Blue Jays are on the road to take on the Padres. Bassitt has been solid in his first two starts, picking up wins in each. He has gone 6 2/3 innings and 6 1/3 innings, respectively, in those two outings, and has 13 strikeouts to his name. Bassitt has given up a total of 2 home runs in his 2 starts.

For the Blue Jays, our top hitter in terms of total hits is Bo Bichette, as he has the 2nd highest total hits projection in the league today. George Springer is right behind him in terms of total hits, as he has the 6th highest total hits projection in the league. When it comes to home runs, we have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. with the best odds to go deep, as his home run projection is 9th best in the league. If you’re looking for a bit of a longshot, Daulton Varsho has the 11th best odds to hit a home run today.

Padres Records & Stats

With a record of 11-12, the Padres are looking to get back above .500 today, as they are in the midst of a three-game losing streak. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place, trailing the Dodgers by just one game.

So far, the Padres have been good on the road, putting together a record of 6-4. But at home, they are just 5-8. San Diego is coming off dropping the series to the Blue Jays, getting swept in the two-game set.

San Diego has been a difficult team to gauge against the run line this season, as they have a winning record but have been outscored on the season. They are 12-11 against the run line, but just 3-10 at home. They are 9-1 against the run line on the road, and have covered two straight games as the favorite.

The Padres have been trending towards the under in their games, as they have hit the under in their last three games. Their over/under record for the season is 11-11, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 9.5 runs, and their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs in 43.5% of their games.

Joe Musgrove has started the season with a 2-1 record, and he will be making his third start of the season today. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts, picking up a win over the Cardinals and a loss to the Cubs. In his last start, he gave up 3 earned runs on 7 hits and struck out 3.

Our player prop model is high on the Padres’ offense today, with Xander Bogaerts leading the way in terms of total hits. His projected hit total is 22nd best in the league today. Manny Machado has the 3rd best odds on the team to hit a home run, and his odds are 11th best in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is our top projected home run hitter for the Padres, and his odds are 11th best in the league. If you’re looking for a long shot, Luis Campusano has the 13th best odds to hit a home run today.