New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/21/24

At 4:10 from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have an NL matchup between the Mets and Dodgers. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Mets are 12-8 compared to the Dodgers at 12-11. New York will be looking to Adrian Houser to the mound vs. Tyler Glasnow for the Dodgers.

Los Angeles comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -240, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by SNLA.

NEW YORK METS VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 ET on Sunday, April 21st.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS DODGERS:

• We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Dodgers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 6-4 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring three runs and picking up all six of their hits. As for the Dodgers, they scored one run in the 1st inning and added their final run in the 5th.

Jose Butto got the start for the Mets, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. Michael Tonkin got the win out of the bullpen, and Reed Garrett got the save. Gavin Stone only went 3 1/3 innings for the Dodgers, giving up two earned runs on four hits.

Starling Marte and Francisco Lindor each had two hits and two RBIs for the Mets. Joey Wendle also had a two-hit game and scored a run. Jeff McNeil added two hits and drove in a run.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are riding a six-game winning streak as they take on the Dodgers today. In the NL East, they are 2.5 games behind the Phillies for 2nd place and trail the Braves by 2.5 games for the division lead. New York has a series record of 4-2 this season.

When playing on the road, the Mets are 6-2 compared to 6-6 at home. New York has won four straight games as the underdog and is 5-2 this season in that role. Their overall record is currently 12-8.

When the Mets are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line, going 12-8 overall. They are particularly strong against the run line on the road, going 7-1, and have covered the run line in six straight road games. They have a positive run differential of 2.4 runs per game on the road, compared to just 0.2 runs per game at home.

With a combined run average of 9.2, the New York Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 11-9, and their over streak is at three games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Los Angeles Dodgers is set at 9 runs, which is right around their average line for the season. So far, 70% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 0-1. Their games have gone over the line in 50% of the games where the line was set at 9.5 runs.

Adrian Houser is getting the start for the Mets on the road against the Dodgers. Houser has started 2 games so far this season, and he has a loss and a no-decision. In his most recent outing, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and struck out 5.

For the Mets, we have Pete Alonso with the highest home run projection on the team and 7th best in the league today. Brandon Nimmo has the highest total hits projection on the team and 25th best in the league. Francisco Lindor has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 12th best in the league. Jeff McNeil has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and DJ Stewart has the 2nd best home run projection on the Mets.

Dodgers Records & Stats

As the Dodgers are at home today vs. the Mets, they are looking to get back above .500, as they currently have a record of 12-11. Los Angeles is on a three-game losing streak, losing the final three games of their series with the Nationals and Mets. In the NL West, they are just ahead of the Padres by one game.

So far, the Dodgers have been just below average at home, going 8-8. And they have a winning record on the road at 4-3. Los Angeles is coming off a series loss and, as the favorite, is 12-11 this season.

When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, it’s by an average of 2.7 runs per game. They are 9-14 against the run line this season and have failed to cover in three straight games. They are 5-11 against the run line at home and 4-3 on the road.

The Dodgers’ over/under record is 15-8, and their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 9 runs in 0 of their 23 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 13.0% of their games.

Tyler Glasnow is getting the start for the Dodgers at home against the Mets. He has been great to start the season, as he has 36 strikeouts in his first 3 starts. Glasnow’s last time out, he took a loss to the Nationals, but he still struck out 14 batters in just 5 innings of work.

Based on our projections, Shohei Ohtani has the best chance to hit a home run in today’s game for the Dodgers. His home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Freddie Freeman has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 13th best in the league. Mookie Betts has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and his odds are 10th best in the league today. Max Muncy is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and his odds are also 10th in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and his odds are 10th in the league as well.