Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/24
At 6:40 PM from Comerica Park in Detroit, we have an American League matchup between the Rangers and Tigers. The forecast for Monday night calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 60s. Texas comes in with a record of 8-8, while the Tigers are 9-6.
Michael Lorenzen gets the start for the Rangers, and he is up against Reese Olson for the Tigers. Looking at the money line odds, the Rangers are at -122 compared to the Tigers at +103. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
DETROIT TIGERS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +103
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, April 15th.
HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Rangers Records & Stats
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with an 8-5 loss. Texas was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Astros scored three times in the first.
Nathan Eovaldi took the loss, going six innings and giving up five earned runs on eight hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and issued two walks. The Rangers’s offense scored their only runs in the 4th inning, with Marcus Semien going deep and Evan Carter adding a homer of his own.
Texas currently leads the AL West on the overall standings, as they are in 1st pace heading into today’s game. The Rangers and Angels are separated by just half a game. So far, the Rangers are 8-8, but they are on a two-game losing streak.
Looking at Texas’ series record, they are 2-2-1 so far. At home, they have gone 5-5, and on the road, they are just above .500 at 3-3. As the favorite, Texas is 3-5 this season compared to 5-3 as the underdog.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 5.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. They are 7-9 against the run line this season, including a 3-3 mark on the road. They are 5-3 against the run line as an underdog, but just 2-6 as a favorite. Their overall run differential is +0.9 runs per game, but they are scoring 1.4 more runs per game at home than on the road.
After a slow start to the season, the Rangers have seen the over hit in three straight games, with the combined run average in those games being 14.7. Overall, the over/under record for the Rangers is 8-8, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Tigers is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than the average line in their games this season.
Michael Lorenzen is coming off a season in which he made 25 starts and went 9-9. His ERA for the year was 4.18, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.21. Lorenzen’s FIP for the season was 4.46, and he gave up a total of 20 home runs. In terms of quality starts, he had 11, and he finished the year with one complete game and one shutout. For the season, Lorenzen averaged 6.53 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.76 walks per nine. His strikeouts per walk ratio for the season was 2.4.
In terms of player projections for the Rangers, we have Corey Seager with the highest total hits projection on the team, and his total hits projection is 25th best in the league today. Adolis García has the top home run projection for the Rangers and is 3rd best in the league. Marcus Semien has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 10th best in the league today.
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Twins in the top of the first, the Tigers responded with two runs of their own. Detroit went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Jack Flaherty put together a good start for the Tigers, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. He also issued only two walks and struck out eight Twins batters. Javier Baez had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Tigers scored their other run in the 8th.
Detroit’s overall record currently sits at 9-6, and they Tigers are a perfect 6-2 on the road this season. At home, they have gone just 3-4. In the AL Central, they are just one game behind the Guardians and are 3rd in the division standings.
Looking at Detroit’s series record, they are 2-1-2 so far. When coming off a win, like they are today, the Tigers have gone just 2-4 this season. As the underdog, Detroit is 3-4 this season and they have yet to win a game as the home underdog (0-2).
The Tigers have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 5-10 overall. They have been even worse at home, where they are just 1-6 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 1.6 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 4-4. They have covered the run line in four of their last six games as the underdog.
With an average combined run total of 7.6 runs per game, the Detroit Tigers have seen their games go over the 8.5-run over/under line in just one of their 14 games this season. Their over/under record is 6-8 overall, and they have seen their games go under the line in 66.7% of their games this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Reese Olson will be making his third start of the season for the Tigers, as he is coming off a loss to the Pirates in his last outing. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 6 runs on 6 hits. However, he did have 9 strikeouts. He started the year with a no-decision against the Mets, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out 3.
For the Tigers, we have Spencer Torkelson coming in with the highest home run projection on the team and 10th best in the league today. Gio Urshela has the highest total hits projection on the team and 22nd best in the league. Kerry Carpenter is 2nd in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projections on the team.