San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the Giants and Marlins will square off in an NL matchup. Monday night’s matchup is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami and features a Giants club that is 6-10 compared to the Marlins at 3-13. On the money line, the Giants are the slight favorite at -121.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup is Kyle Harrison for the Giants up against A.J. Puk for the Marlins. You can catch this one on NBCS.

MIAMI MARLINS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +101

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, April 15th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Giants Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Giants closed out the series with a 9-4 loss. San Francisco was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rays scored three times in the first.

Blake Snell had a really rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Giants pulled him after just four innings of work. Michael Conforto hit a homer for the Giants but went just 1/4. The Giants also had three other players with two hits.

As the Giants are on the road today vs. the Marlins, they are looking to pick up a win, as they are currently 6-10 and in 4th place in the NL West. In the division, they are four games behind the Padres. So far, the Giants have been really struggling in night games, going 1-7.

When playing on the road, the Giants are 3-7 compared to 3-3 at home. San Francisco got a series win in their most recent matchup vs. the Rays. This season, the Giants are 3-4 as the favorite and 3-6 as the underdog.

San Francisco has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 6-4 against the run line. They have a run line record of 7-9 overall, and they have been a better bet as an underdog, going 6-3 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.7.

The Giants have played in 16 games this season, and the over has hit in 10 of them. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in seven of their games. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in four of those games. Overall, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs on average for their games this season.

Kyle Harrison is on the mound for the Giants today against the Marlins. He has started 3 games this season, picking up a win in his first start and then taking a loss in his last outing. He has 18 strikeouts in 17 innings of work so far.

When it comes to the Giants’ offensive projections, we have Jorge Soler leading the way with the 4th highest total hits projection on the team, as well as the top odds to hit a home run. His home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Wilmer Flores is next in terms of total hits, and he has the best odds to go deep on the team, with the 9th best odds in the league. Tom Murphy is 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Giants and his odds are 10th in the league. Austin Slater has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team, and his home run odds are 19th in the league. Jung Hoo Lee has the best total hits projection on the team, and his home run odds are 17th in the league.

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 9-7 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Braves scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Miami was the +126 underdog at home going into the game.

Jesús Luzardo had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. He also only lasted five innings, taking the loss. Offensively, the Marlins scored their seven runs on nine hits and only had one home run.

Miami is really struggling this season, as they have a record of 3-13 heading into today’s game vs. the Giants. The Marlins are in 5th place in the NL East, seven games behind the Braves. So far, they have yet to win a series, going 0-5.

When playing at home, the Marlins are 1-9 compared to 2-4 on the road. Coming into today’s game, they have been the underdog nine times and have a record of 3-6 in those games. As the favorite, Miami is 0-7 this season.

When betting the run line, the Miami Marlins have been a team to fade this season, as they are just 4-12 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going just 1-9 on the run line. The Marlins have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 3-3. Miami has been an underdog in nine of their 13 games, and they are 4-5 on the run line in those games.

When the Miami Marlins play, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game. So far this season, the over/under record for the Marlins is 10-6. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and when the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the record is 6-3. The percentage of their games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs is 18.8%.

After a rough outing in his first start of the season, A.J. Puk will be looking to bounce back at home against the Giants. Puk has taken the loss in each of his first two starts of the season, and in his last start, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits.

For the Marlins, we like Luis Arraez to have a good game at the plate. His hits projection is the 4th best in the league today, and his home run projection is 16th. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is our top projected home run hitter for the Marlins, and his home run projection is 9th best in the league today. If you are looking at a Marlins player to hit a home run, we also like Josh Bell, as his home run projection is 12th in the league today.