Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

At 8:00 ET, the San Antonio Spurs (-837) will host the Denver Nuggets (+564) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is 223.5.

Denver (-12.5) is currently on a three-game win streak and is 56-24 overall. San Antonio (20-60) is 15th in the Western Conference and 5th in the Southwest Division.

DENVER NUGGETS VS SAN ANTONIO SPURS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Antonio Spurs +12.5

This game will be played at Frost Bank Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 12th.

WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 110-108 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 13 threes.

Can Denver Secure a Road Victory?

In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Timberwolves by a score of 116-107. The combined scoring in the game was 223 points, surpassing the O/U line of 213.

Denver is currently on a three-game winning streak and has a record of 56-24, which is the best in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 32-18 and 24-6 against the East.

On the road, the Nuggets are 23-16 this season and are favored by 12.5 points against the Spurs. Against the spread on the road, they are 16-22 compared to 21-19 at home.

For the season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 32-46-2. In their games, the average combined scoring is 224.1 points, and today’s line of 223.5 is just below their season average of 225.8.

Denver has been favored in 70 of their 80 games this season and has a record of 52-18 as the favorite. Their ATS record as the favorite is 32-36, and they have covered the spread in three straight games.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.7 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. However, on the road, they are scoring 110.6 points per game. Denver has outscored the league average in 47.5% of their games this season. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

Denver’s offense is one of the best in the league when it comes to two-point shooting, as they are 2nd in the NBA in made two-pointers. Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field, which is 4th in the league. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts and 25th in three-point makes.

When it comes to free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes. In terms of offensive rebounds, Denver is 13th in the league. Finally, the Nuggets are 3rd in the NBA in assists at 29.4 per game.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 6th in the league at 109.4 points per game allowed. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.4% from downtown.

Can the Spurs Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

San Antonio is 20-60 this season and is currently in 15th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place.

As the underdog, the Spurs are 14-58 this season, and they have gone 36-36 ATS as the underdog. Today, they are getting 12.5 points and have gone 2-2 ATS as the underdog.

In their last game, the Spurs lost to the Thunder by a score of 127-89. They were 17-point underdogs in that game and are now 2-2 as the underdog.

This season, the Spurs have an O/U record of 40-39-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have finished with 230.7 points, and today’s O/U line is 223.5.

In terms of ATS, the Spurs are 42-38 for the season. At home, they are 20-19 ATS, while going 22-19 ATS on the road.

Heading into their game against the Nuggets, the Spurs are 23rd in the league in scoring at 111.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 113.8 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA.

So far this season, San Antonio has outscored the league average in 43.8% of their games. They are 25th in field goal percentage at 46%, and they have made 12.6 three-pointers per game, which is 17th in the league.

On average, the Spurs are getting to the free-throw line 20 times per game, which is 27th in the NBA. In terms of pace, San Antonio is 2nd in the league at 101.3 possessions per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 118.9 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Spurs are causing 14.6 turnovers per game, ranking 28th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 3rd in rejections, averaging 6.4 blocked shots each game.