Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 4/12/24

At 8:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-958) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+614) in a non-conference matchup. The Thunder are favored by 14.5 points (-14.5), and the over/under line is set at 223.5.

This game will be played at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on KSBI.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +14.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, April 12th.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-110 in favor of the Thunder.
• Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists.
• From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 15 threes.

Can Milwaukee Stun the Crowd at Paycom Center?

In their games this season, the Bucks have had an average over/under line of 234.7, which is higher than today’s line of 223.5. Their games have averaged 235.8 points per game.

For the season, Milwaukee has gone 40-40 on the over/under, and 65 of their games have had higher O/U lines than 223.5.

In their last game, the Bucks beat the Magic by a score of 117-99. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game, and the O/U line was 213.5.

Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 35-45, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 16-22 ATS, compared to 19-23 ATS at home.

As underdogs this season, the Bucks are 4-9 straight-up and 6-7 against the spread. They are currently the underdogs by 14.5 points and are 49-31 overall.

In the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are in 2nd place with a record of 49-31. Within the Central Division, they are also in 1st place with a record of 10-7 against division opponents.

Heading into the game, the Bucks are one of the NBA’s most explosive offenses, averaging 119.5 points per game (4th). In terms of pace, they are 6th in the league at 100 possessions per game.

When it comes to scoring, Milwaukee is 5th in the league in both home (121.2) and road (117.7) scoring. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games this season.

One key to the Bucks’ offensive success has been their ability to get to the free-throw line. They are 3rd in the NBA in free-throw attempts (24.1) and 5th in made free throws (18.6).

Defensively, the Bucks come into today’s game ranked 21st in the NBA at 116.3 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvements lately, ranking 12th in the league over their last three games. The Milwaukee defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Milwaukee.

Do the Thunder Have a Shot at a Home Win?

The Thunder have won three straight games and are looking to improve their record of 55-25. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 3rd place and have gone 35-16 against other teams in the West.

Oklahoma City has been favored in 59 of their 80 games this season and are 45-14 in those games. Today, they are favored by 14.5 points and have gone 33-26 ATS as the favorite.

In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Spurs by a score of 127-89. They were favored by 17 points in that game and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 231 points.

This season, the Thunder have an average scoring differential of +11.9 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 25-14 and have covered in three straight games.

Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 43-36-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, which is lower than their season average of 232.4.

The Thunder come into tonight’s game as the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league at 119.8 points per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 122.8 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA.

Oklahoma City is one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%. They have also been one of the top three-point shooting teams, making 13.3 threes per game (9th).

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 7th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of free throws, they are 12th in makes (17.8) and 17th in attempts (21.5).

At present, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 12th, allowing 113.1 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Thunder are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 1st in rejections, averaging 6.6 blocked shots each game.