Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24
Two of the Eastern Conference’s top four teams will face off tonight in Milwaukee, as the Bucks (-105) host the Magic (-116) at 8:00 ET. Orlando is currently favored by one point on the road.
The over/under line for this conference matchup is set at 215.5. The Magic are 46-33 and sit fourth in the East, while the Bucks are 48-31 and second in the conference.
ORLANDO MAGIC VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +1
This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-108 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with Giannis Antetokounmpo points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.0% and knocking down 16 threes.
Does Orlando Have a Shot at a Road Win?
In their last game, the Magic lost to the Rockets by a score of 118-106. The O/U line for that game was also 215.5, and Orlando was favored by 2.5 points going into the game.
For the season, the Magic have an O/U record of 36-43, and their games have averaged 218.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 215.5 is lower than the season average of 221.4.
Against the spread, Orlando is 50-29 for the season, with a road ATS record of 23-16. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last two road games. As the favorite, the Magic are 25-11 ATS on the road and 28-8 straight up.
Orlando is currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-33. In the Southeast Division, they are in 1st place. This season, they have gone 31-18 against other teams in the East and 15-15 against the West.
When it comes to scoring, the Magic are 25th in the league at 110.5 points per game. However, they have been a better offensive team at home (112.6) compared to on the road (108.5).
So far this season, the Magic have outscored the NBA scoring average in 35.4% of their games. They have also been below the league average in three-point shooting, making just 35% of their attempts (22nd).
When it comes to pace, Orlando is 26th in the league at 96.6 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 27th in the league at 24.7 per game.
For the season, Orlando is sitting 3rd in terms of points allowed per game (108.4). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. The Orlando defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Orlando.
Will the Bucks Make it Happen at Home?
The Bucks have a record of 39-40-0 on the over/under this season, and their games have averaged 236.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 215.5 is lower than all 79 of their previous games.
In their last game against the Celtics, the Bucks won by a score of 104-91. The O/U line for that game was 230.5 points. Milwaukee covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
Milwaukee is 34-45 against the spread this season, including a home ATS record of 18-23. As the underdog, they are 5-7 ATS, and they have covered the spread in their last two games as the underdog.
Overall, the Bucks are 48-31 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 1st place.
Against Eastern Conference teams, the Bucks are 33-17 compared to 15-14 in non-conference games. At home, they are 30-11 and 18-20 on the road.
The Bucks are one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 119.5 points per game (4th). At home, they are averaging 121.3 points per game this season (5th).
Milwaukee has been one of the most efficient teams in the league from beyond the arc, shooting 37% from three-point range (8th). Overall, they are 7th in field goal percentage at 48%.
When it comes to pace, the Bucks are 6th in the NBA at 100.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league with an average of 26.7 per game.
At present, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 21st, allowing 116.5 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Bucks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.9% while allowing 35.5% from downtown.