Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 4/10/24

At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat will host the Dallas Mavericks in a non-conference matchup. The Mavericks (-247) are currently favored by 6.5 points over the Heat (+198). Dallas has won four straight games and is 49-30 overall, while Miami is 44-35 and currently holds the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference.

This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on ESPN. The over/under line for the game is currently sitting at 215 points.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat +6.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, April 10th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-114 in favor of the Mavericks.
• Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
• From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will Dallas Make it Happen on the Road?

Today, the Mavericks are favored by 6.5 points on the spread. This season, they have been favored in 49 of their 79 games and have a record of 37-12 as the favorite. Currently, they have won three straight games as the favorite and have an ATS record of 32-17 in those games.

Dallas is 47-32 against the spread this season and has covered in their last four games. On the road, their ATS record is 26-13 compared to 21-19 at home.

The Mavericks’ O/U record for the season is 37-42, and the over has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 234.5 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 215.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Hornets by a score of 130-104. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 13-point favorites.

With a record of 49-30, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place in the Western Conference. Against Western Conference teams, they are 31-20 and 18-10 in non-conference games.

Heading into their matchup with the Miami Heat, the Dallas Mavericks are one of the NBA’s most prolific offenses. They are currently 5th in the league in scoring at 118.7 points per game. On the road, the Mavericks are averaging 118 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s best. They are 3rd in the league in three-pointers made per game at 14.8. Overall, they are 12th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

On average, the Mavericks are attempting 99.7 field goals per game, which is 7th in the league. In terms of shooting efficiency, they are 11th in field goal percentage at 48%. Inside the arc, the Mavericks are the NBA’s 4th most accurate team.

Currently, the Mavericks’ defense holds the 20th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.8 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.5% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.

Do the Heat Stand a Chance at Home?

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 33-46, and their games have averaged 218.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 215, and the team has gone over the line in their last seven games.

Miami’s ATS record for the season is 39-37, and they have covered the spread in their last three games. At home, they are 15-23 ATS, compared to 24-14 on the road.

In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently in 8th place with a record of 44-35. Against the East, they are 30-20 and 14-15 against the West.

The Heat’s last game was a 117-111 win over the Hawks. They were favored by 3.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 217.5.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 11-22 straight-up and 17-16 ATS. Today, they are 6.5-point underdogs and have gone 2-3 as the underdog.

This season, Miami is 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.1 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.2 PPG.

So far, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 39.2% of their games. In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the league at 95.9 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Heat are 23rd in the NBA at 46%. From three-point range, they are shooting 37%, which is 13th in the league.

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 4th in the league, allowing an average of 108.5 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Heat are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 30th in rejections, averaging 3.4 blocked shots each game.