West Virginia Mountaineers vs Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
At 12:00 ET, this week 11 matchup between the West Virginia Mountaineers and Cincinnati Bearcats is set to kick off at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati. The game can be seen on FS1, with Cincinnati favored by -5 points. The over/under line is currently 56.5 points. The Bearcats come in with a 5-3 record, while the Mountaineers are 4-4 on the season. The money line odds are +166 for West Virginia and -201 for Cincinnati.
WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS VS CINCINNATI BEARCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: West Virginia Mountaineers +5
This game will be played at Nippert Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS:
- We have the West Virginia Mountaineers winning this one by a score of 30 to 27
- Not only do we have the West Virginia Mountaineers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 56.5 points
Will The West Virginia Mountaineers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
West Virginia enters Week 11 against Cincinnati with a 4-4 record, ranking 54th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 57.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Mountaineers are 2-1 on the road and 1-3 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in just two games, going 1-1 as the favorite and 2-3 as the underdog. West Virginia’s average scoring margin is +0.4 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread, with a 2-1 road ATS record and a 1-3 mark at home.
Their over/under record is 4-3, with an average line of 56 points. This week’s line is set at 56.5 points, and their games have averaged 57.1 points per contest.
West Virginia’s offense has leaned on their run game, averaging 205.8 rushing yards per game on 39.9 attempts, ranking 31st nationally in both categories. Jahiem White leads the team with 508 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. The Mountaineers are 52nd in scoring, with 28.8 points per game, but they rank 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.
Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards, with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. West Virginia ranks 94th in passing yards per game. Hudson Clement leads the receivers with 383 yards and three touchdowns on 28 catches. The Mountaineers have converted 41.7% of their third-down attempts.
West Virginia’s defense has allowed an average of 28.4 points per game this season, ranking 63rd nationally. In their recent game against Arizona, they gave up 26 points but limited the Wildcats to just 5 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Arizona did manage to throw for 256 yards and two touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 125 rushing yards per game against West Virginia, while quarterbacks have posted a 110.7 passer rating, completing 62.6% of their throws. The Mountaineers rank 142nd in the nation, allowing 261 passing yards per game.
Are The Cincinnati Bearcats Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
At 5-3 this season, Cincinnati is ranked 40th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 92.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, but only a 1.5% shot at winning the Big 12. The Bearcats are 2-1 at home and 2-2 on the road heading into their Week 11 game against West Virginia.
Cincinnati’s ATS record stands at 4-2-1, with a +8 average scoring margin. They are 3-1 against the spread as favorites and 2-1 at home.
Their over/under record is 1-5-1, with games averaging 50.2 points. The average over/under line is 54.7, and this week’s line is set at 56.5 points.
Heading into week 11, Cincinnati’s offense ranks 50th in scoring, averaging 29.1 points per game. However, they are 10th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 34th in completions and averaging 266.6 yards per game. They convert 44.6% of their third downs and are 21st in completion percentage.
Brendan Sorsby leads the Bearcats with 2,108 passing yards, a passer rating of 103, and 15 touchdowns to four interceptions. Corey Kiner has rushed for 692 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Xzavier Henderson has 549 receiving yards and four touchdowns this season.
Heading into their matchup with West Virginia, Cincinnati’s defense ranks 22nd nationally, allowing 21.1 points per game. However, they’ve struggled against the pass, giving up 240.5 yards per game, which ranks 124th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have a 96.5 passer rating and a 62.4% completion rate against the Bearcats.
In their recent game against Colorado, Cincinnati allowed 34 points and 451 total yards. While they held Colorado to 128 rushing yards, they gave up 323 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.