Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Nationals and Padres face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Nationals are the slight money line favorites, with their line sitting at +100 compared to the Padres at -121. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
MacKenzie Gore is starting for the Nationals, while Adam Mazur is on the mound for the Padres. Washington is 4th in the NL East, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West. MASN will be televising this one.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -121
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a wild finish to the most recent game of this Padres vs Nationals series. San Diego went into the matchup as -189 favorites and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Nationals had a three-run 9th inning but fell just short. Heading into the game, the Padres had won the first two games of the series.
Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and went six innings while giving up two runs and striking out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Wandy Peralta closed things out. Patrick Corbin had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work.
At the plate, Donovan Solano went 2/4 with two RBIs and scored two runs for the Padres. Jackson Merrill also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. For the Nationals, Nick Senzel hit the games only home run and drove in three runs.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 38-40 overall and is 14.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional games. The Nationals will be on the road today, and they are 21-21 on the road compared to 17-19 at home.
The Nationals have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 11-13-1 this year. As the underdog, Washington is 30-34 this season, and they are 8-6 as the favorite. They are also 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, as they are 47-31 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 27-15 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 40-24 against the run line, compared to 7-7 as the favorite.
Washington Nationals games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-40. The over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 7.5 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Nationals’ over/under record is 9-7. Overall, 76.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs this season.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-6. Gore’s ERA is 3.49, along with a WHIP of 1.39. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gore took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gore’s strikeout per nine innings figure is currently at 11.02.
Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team OPS. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late. This includes CJ Abrams, who is 12/26 in his last six games with a home run and seven runs scored.
Lane Thomas comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last eight games. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with eight homers. Joey Meneses has driven in the most runs for the Nationals this season, and he is also their top power threat, with only three homers.
Padres Records & Stats
With a record of 42-41, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 8.5 games. San Diego will host the Nationals today, and they are 14-15 in divisional games this year. The Padres took the first game of this series vs. the Nationals and have an overall series record of 14-10-3.
At home, the Padres are 22-22 this year, and they are just above .500 at 20-19 on the road. San Diego has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 15-17 as the underdog overall. The Padres have gone 27-24 when favored this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Their run line record is 42-41, and they have been a profitable run line team on the road, going 27-12. As the underdog, they are 22-10 on the run line, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
The San Diego Padres have been playing in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 43-39, and the over has hit in five straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Washington Nationals is set at 7.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 13-13. Overall, 60.2% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Adam Mazur will be making his second start of the season at home, taking on the Washington Nationals. He has yet to pick up a win in his first three outings, with his most recent start coming against the Brewers, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up 3 earned runs.
Over the past five games, Jake Cronenworth and Jackson Merrill have been swinging hot bats for the Padres, with Cronenworth going 10/22 (.455) with two homers and three RBIs, and Merrill has also gone deep twice while batting .400. Cronenworth is 2nd on the team with 49 RBIs and has 12 homers this season. Jurickson Profar is also near the top of the Padres home run and RBI leaderboards, batting .317 with 10 homers and 50 RBIs.
Profar is currently on an eight-game hitting streak, and Cronenworth has a five-game streak going. Profar’s 50 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. The Padres offense is 2nd in the league in batting average and is 9th in home runs.