Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24
The Nationals and Marlins are set to face off in an NL East matchup at 6:40 PM ET. Tuesday’s matchup is taking place at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Nationals are favored on the money line (-105) compared to the Marlins at -113. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Patrick Corbin is slated to start for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Max Meyer. Washington is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 61-76, while the Marlins have won two straight and are 51-86.
MIAMI MARLINS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline -113
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS MARLINS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 14-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the slight favorite at +110 on the money line. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 3rd inning, as the Cubs scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.
Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up seven earned runs. Washington’s offense was carried by Parker in their previous start, but he was only able to go one inning. The Nationals finished with a total of five hits.
Washington is 61-76 overall and trails the Phillies by 20 games in the NL East. The Nationals are also 4th in the division, 12 games behind the Mets for 3rd place. The team is 18-20 against other NL East teams this season.
At home, the Nationals are 32-37 compared to 29-39 on the road. As the road favorite, Washington has gone 4-3 this season, and they are 12-11 overall as the favorite. The Nationals come in having lost three straight games, and they dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Cubs.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, as they are 77-60 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 40-28. The Nationals have covered the run line in two straight games and are 11-12 against the run line as the favorite. They are 66-48 against the run line as the underdog.
Washington’s over/under record for the season is 66-66, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 18-19. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and 41.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or lower. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Corbin has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 4-12 with a 5.50 ERA. This season, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off back-to-back outings in which he didn’t allow an earned run. In his last outing, he went six innings vs. the Yankees, giving up just two hits and two walks. Corbin’s ERA on the road is 7.42 compared to 4.73 at home.
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 21st in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This is the same number of runs they have averaged on the road and at home. The Nationals are also just 25th in the league in home runs and have a team slugging percentage of just .377.
Luis Garcia Jr. has been the Nationals’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .290 with 15 homers and a team-high 63 RBIs. CJ Abrams also has 18 homers but is batting just .244. Jacob Young has gone 8/22 in his last seven games, while Andres Chaparro has struggled of late, going just 4/23.
Marlins Records & Stats
The Marlins pulled off a big upset in their most recent game, closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 7-5 win. Miami was the +227 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the first.
Miami’s offense really took off in the 5th inning, scoring four runs. The Marlins added another two runs in the 6th to close things out. Kyle Stowers went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Marlins also had three other players with two hits.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 30 games for the division lead. Overall, they are 51-86 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Nationals. The Marlins are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 13-26 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Marlins are 25-44 this season, and they are just below .500 at 26-42 on the road. So far, the Marlins have struggled as the favorite, going 4-13, but they are 47-73 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 11-25-7, and they have dropped four straight series at home.
At home, the Marlins have a run line record of 29-40, with an average run margin of -1.7. They have a run line record of 2-15 as the favorite and 62-58 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.7, while it is -3.8 in losing games. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
When the Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 75-58, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-20. Overall, 19.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Max Meyer gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Nationals at home. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.43. Meyer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.38. Looking back at his last outing, Meyer took the loss, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. He has given up at least two homers in three straight outings. Meyer has a total of 12 homers this year. One positive note is that he has a quality start in three of his last four outings.
Over the last five games, Derek Hill has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 5/18 with three homers and four RBIs. Kyle Stowers has also been on a tear, going 8/21 in his last six games with two homers and eight RBIs. Stowers has scored four runs during this stretch. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for Miami.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4.1 runs per game. Miami’s offense has been one of the worst at drawing walks this season and has the league’s 23rd-ranked OPS. Jake Burger leads the team with 25 homers and 59 RBIs, while batting .247.