Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 5/28/24

From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have the Nationals and Braves facing off in an NL East matchup. The Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -247, while the Nationals are +206. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:20 PM ET, and BSSO will be televising this matchup. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, and they are 24-28, while the Braves will be looking to move to 31-21 with Max Fried on the mound.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, May 28th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Charlie Morton, as he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just one run as the Braves starter vs. the Nationals. After scoring four runs in the first inning, the Nationals were held in check until they broke out for two more in the top of the 6th, picking up an 8-4 road win over the Braves.

Mitchell Parker started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Morton got tagged for eight runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Washington’s offense was led by CJ Abrams and Jacob Young, as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Abrams, Jesse Winker, and Keibert Ruiz each had two RBIs for the Nationals’ lineup.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 24-28 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 12.5 games. So far, they are 6-5 in divisional matchups and are leading the Braves 1-0 in their current series. Over the last 10 games, they are 4-6.

At home, the Nationals have gone 10-13 this year, and they are just above .500 at 14-15 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 21-26 this year, compared to 3-2 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 6-10-1.

Despite a negative run differential on the season, the Washington Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line, going 32-20 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 19-10 against the run line. They have been underdogs in most games, going 29-18 against the run line in those contests.

The Nationals are on the road against the Braves today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.4. Washington has hit the over in 23 of their 50 games this season. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, they have hit the over in 8 of 17 games.

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.79 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.07 and opponents are batting .232 this year. Irvin has turned in five quality starts this year, and his ERA on the road is 3.28, compared to 5.1 at home. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing.

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in both slugging percentage and OPS. The Nationals do have two hitters who have been good power threats this season, as CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively. However, Abrams is hitting just .261, and Garcia Jr. is batting .264.

Looking at recent performances, Eddie Rosario and CJ Abrams have both struggled, with Rosario hitting just .161 and Abrams at .212 over their last eight games. However, Rosario does have two homers during this stretch. Keibert Ruiz has been hot of late, going 11/24 in his last eight games. He also has a four-game hitting streak coming into the game.

Braves Records & Stats

Atlanta is 30-21 overall this season, putting them six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are looking to bounce back today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Nationals.

At home, the Braves have gone 16-9 this year compared to a 14-12 mark on the road. As the favorite, Atlanta is 29-18 and 1-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Braves are 11-5-1.

When the Braves have won this season, they’ve done so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, and their run line record is 26-25. They have been the favorite in 47 of their games, and their run line record in those games is 23-24. They are 3-1 against the run line as the underdog.

The Braves are playing at home against the Nationals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season. The Braves have hit the over in 18 of their 49 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 4 of their 13 games. The over has hit in 47.1% of their games this season when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.

Max Fried is coming off a strong outing against the Cubs, where he picked up the win. In that May 22nd start, he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-2. His ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.06. This year, Fried has two complete games and one shutout. Opponents are batting .194 off the left-hander this season. For the year, he has issued 3.07 walks per nine innings compared to 7.36 strikeouts.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 15 home runs are 3rd in the MLB and lead the Braves. He is also 2nd in the league with 47 RBIs. Ozuna is batting .310 for the season and has gone 3/10 with three homers over his last 10 games. Matt Olson is also on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .230 for the season.

As a team, the Braves are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in batting average and have the league’s 7th best slugging percentage.