Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 1/26/25
The Eagles are the heavy favorite in this NFC East matchup, with a money line of -286 as they host the Commanders at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 26th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. FOX is covering this conference championship game, and the Eagles are favored by -6 points, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points. The Commanders’ money line odds are +233.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -6
This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 3:00 ET on Sunday, January 26th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES:
- We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 26 to 16
- Not only do we have the Eagles winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -6
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points
Will The Commanders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Washington heads into their conference championship matchup against the Eagles on a five-game winning streak, which includes a 45-31 victory over the Lions in the divisional round. The Commanders were 8.5-point underdogs in that game but pulled off the upset, bringing their record to 12-5. They are 2-0 in the playoffs, with a 23-20 win over the Buccaneers in the wild card round and a 23-19 win over the Cowboys in week 18.
Washington is 12-6-1 against the spread this season, with a +5.8 scoring margin. They are 7-4 ATS as favorites and 5-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 12-7, with their games averaging 52.4 points compared to a 46.7-point line.
Jayden Daniels has been excellent under center for the Commanders, posting a passer rating of 122 in the divisional round, going 22/31 for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. In the Wild Card round, he threw for 268 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 110. Dyami Brown led the team in receiving against the Lions, with 6 catches for 98 yards, following his 89-yard performance in the Wild Card round.
Washington ranks 5th in our offensive power rankings and 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 29.1. They are 5th in the league in yards per game (374.5) and 13th in passing yards per game (222.7). The Commanders rely heavily on the run game, ranking 3rd in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (151.7).
In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 201 rushing yards to the Lions, despite coming out on top with a 45-31 win. The Commanders’ defense did come up with four interceptions, even though they allowed 320 passing yards and 521 total yards to the Lions. They also allowed Detroit to convert on 41.9% of their third down attempts.
Washington’s defense also allowed the Lions to complete 25 passes, and they gave up a total of 31 points. Even though they gave up a lot of yards, the Commanders’ defense was able to force some key turnovers to help secure the win.
Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
The Eagles are 14-3 this season, putting them 1st in the NFC East and 2nd in the conference. After losing to the Commanders in week 16, they’ve bounced back with two straight wins, including a 28-22 victory over the Rams in the divisional round. They couldn’t cover the 7-point spread in that game, but they did cover as 5.5-point favorites against the Packers in the wild card round.
Philadelphia is 12-7 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game. They are 9-7 ATS as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-11, with their games averaging 44.6 points compared to a 44.9-point line.
Philadelphia’s offense has been heavily reliant on the run game, leading the NFL in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 184.3. Saquon Barkley has been a big part of that, rushing for 205 yards on 26 carries in the divisional round after a 119-yard performance in the Wild Card round. The Eagles rank 31st in passing yards per game, with Jalen Hurts throwing for 128 yards on 15/20 passing in the divisional round, but he was sacked 7 times.
Philadelphia ranks 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27, and they are 9th in yards per game with 362.2. They have struggled in the red zone, converting just 10.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 26th in the league. The Eagles are 10th in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 41.7% of their attempts.
In their 28-22 win over the Rams, the Eagles’ defense allowed 402 total yards, but they did come up with five sacks and held the Rams to a 37.5% conversion rate on third down. Los Angeles finished with 111 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. In the passing game, the Eagles allowed 291 yards, with the Rams completing 26 passes for two touchdowns. Their completion percentage was 59.1%.