Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Betting Pick & Prediction 12/15/24
On the money line, the Commanders are -361 favorites as they head into their week 15 matchup against the Saints at 1:00 ET. The Saints are +282 on the money line and +7.5 point underdogs. The over/under line is sitting at 43 points. This NFC matchup will be aired on FOX, and it is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS NEW ORLEANS SAINTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Commanders -7.5
This game will be played at Caesars Superdome at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th.
WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:
- We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 27 to 16
- Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 43 points
Will The Commanders Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 15, the Commanders hold an 8-5 record, placing them 11th in our NFL power rankings. After three straight losses, Washington bounced back in week 13 with a 42-19 win over the Titans. They were 6-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 8-4-1. They are 6-2 as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs this season.
Washington has an O/U record of 9-4, with the over hitting in their last two games. Their games have averaged 51.7 points, with an average line of 46.1. We give the Commanders an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs, but just a 2% chance of winning the NFC East.
Heading into week 15, the Commanders are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They are averaging 28.9 points per game, which ranks 4th in the NFL, and 377.6 yards per game, which ranks 5th. Washington has relied heavily on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game with 156.9. They are 18th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 24th in passing attempts. On 3rd down, they rank 6th in the league with a 44.1% conversion rate, and they lead the NFL in red zone attempts, although they are just 26th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 13, QB Jayden Daniels threw for 206 yards and 3 touchdowns, completing 25 of 30 passes. Terry McLaurin led the team with 8 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries. The Commanders scored 21 points in the 1st quarter and finished with 42 points in their win over the Titans. They also converted 9 of 14 3rd downs and went 5/7 in the red zone.
Washington’s defense played a big role in their 42-19 win over the Titans, holding Tennessee to just 35 yards rushing on 11 attempts. The Commanders’ defense gave up two passing touchdowns, but they allowed only 210 yards through the air and limited the Titans to a 48.6% completion percentage. They also forced Tennessee to convert on only 41.7% of their third down attempts.
Washington’s defense recorded two sacks and won the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +7. Overall, the Commanders allowed just 245 total yards in the game.
Are The Saints Going Win In At Upset At Caesars Superdome
With a 5-8 record, the Saints sit 3rd in the NFC South and rank 29th in our power rankings. They have a -0.2 average scoring margin and are 5-8 ATS, including two straight losses. As favorites, they are 1-3 ATS and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-6, with the under hitting in their last two games.
New Orleans has a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. In week 14, they beat the Giants 14-11 but didn’t cover as 5.5-point favorites. The combined 25 points fell short of the 41-point line. In week 13, they lost 21-14 to the Rams, ending a two-game win streak.
Heading into week 15, the Saints are 18th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 15th in the NFL in points per game (22.3) and 14th in yards per game (341.5). New Orleans has leaned on the run game, ranking 7th in rushing attempts and 10th in rushing yards per game. They are 17th in passing attempts and 19th in passing yards per game.
In week 14, Derek Carr threw for 219 yards (20/31) with 1 touchdown and 1 interception against the Giants. Alvin Kamara had 44 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 51 receiving yards. The Saints scored 14 points, with 7 coming in the first and third quarters.
The Saints’ defense was tough to move the ball against on third down in their most recent game, as the Giants converted just 26.3% of their third down attempts. New Orleans came away with a 14-11 win, holding the Giants to just 213 yards passing. The Saints’ defense also limited the Giants to a 42.9% completion percentage and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.
Despite giving up 112 rushing yards on 23 attempts, the Saints held the Giants to 4.9 yards per attempt. They also came away with two sacks and an interception in the game.