Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/17/24

With the point spread at -1 in favor of the Dolphins, they are the underdog in this week two pre-season matchup against the Commanders. This one is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, and the Commanders are the slight favorite at -102 on the money line. The point spread lines have the Commanders at -120.

As for the TV info, there is no TV coverage for this one, and with the over/under sitting at 37.5 points, this could be a lower-scoring game.

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Dolphins -1

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, August 17th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI DOLPHINS:

• We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 18 to 12
• Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
• We see this game finishing below the line of 37.5 points

Will The Commanders Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Commanders were leading 17-10, but the Jets came back to tie it, and eventually, Washington fell by a score of 20-17 in their week one pre-season matchup. With the point spread sitting at -3 in favor of the Commanders, they were slight favorites to win this one, but they ended up losing straight-up and vs. the spread.

For those looking to bet on this one, the O/U line was 34.5 points, and with 37 combined points, the O/U line was a winner for this non-conference matchup.

Washington’s offense really struggled to get anything going through the air in their 20-17 loss to the Jets. They finished with just 212 yards passing on 32 attempts and failed to find the endzone through the air. Jeff Driskel was their leading passer, finishing with 87 yards on 7 completions (46%).

For the game, the Commanders’ offense finished with 17 first downs and 119 yards on the ground. However, they did have a good amount of success on third down, finishing with a 52.9% conversion rate.

In their most recent game against the Jets, Washington’s defense allowed 174 passing yards on 23 attempts, giving up one touchdown through the air. Despite their strong pass defense, they finished with just one sack and allowed the Jets to convert 50% of their third down chances.

On the ground, the Commanders gave up 118 rushing yards on 29 attempts, finishing with 13 first downs allowed and 6 rushing first downs. Overall, they allowed the Jets to finish with 292 yards of offense in their 20-17 loss.

Will The Dolphins Win At Home Over The Commanders?

After dropping behind 10-3 in the 1st quarter, the Dolphins came back to take a 17-10 lead at halftime in their week one pre-season matchup against the Falcons. Miami’s comeback started with a 58-yard field goal from Jason Sanders in the 1st quarter, followed by a touchdown from Skylar Thompson to Jeff Wilson Jr. early in the 2nd quarter.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Dolphins are leading 20-13, and with the over/under line sitting at 38 points, the teams’ 33 combined points are below expectations.

Despite finishing with 144 yards on the ground, the Dolphins’ offense struggled to move the ball through the air in their most recent game vs. the Falcons. Miami finished with just 121 passing yards on 33 attempts, with Skylar Thompson leading the way with 95 yards passing and going 8/19 (42%) with one touchdown and one interception.

For the game, the Dolphins’ offense finished with just 13 first downs and 226 yards. They finished with a completion percentage of just 36.4% and went 3.7 yards per attempt. On third downs, they converted just 29.4% of their chances.

In their most recent game, the Dolphins’ defense was really tough to move the ball against on the ground, as they allowed just 81 rushing yards on 30 attempts. They were also excellent on third down, allowing just a 11.8% conversion rate.

In the passing game, Miami held their opponent to just 145 yards and 40% completions. They didn’t give up any passing touchdowns and came away with one sack. For the game, the Dolphins allowed just 226 yards and finished with a really good 3.6 yards per attempt allowed in the passing game.