Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24
The Ravens are favored by -6.5 as they host the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Ravens are the heavy favorite with a money line of -288, and the over/under line is set at 52.5 points. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS.
WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Commanders +6.5
This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th.
WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:
- We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 30 to 19
- Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 52.5 points
Will The Commanders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Washington heads into week 6 on a four-game winning streak, including a 34-13 home victory over the Browns in week 5. The Commanders were favored by 3 points and easily covered the spread, putting them at 4-1 ATS this season. They’ve covered in four straight games, including two as underdogs, and have a +8 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.
With a 4-1 record, Washington sits atop the NFC East and ranks 2nd in the conference. Our power rankings have them 12th heading into week 6, and they have a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 47.8% chance of winning the division. The Commanders are 2-0 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.
Heading into week 6, the Commanders lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 31 points per game, and they sit 4th in total yards per game with 392.6. Despite ranking 25th in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 238 yards (14/25) and a touchdown in week 5. Daniels posted a passer rating of 96 in week 4 and 141 in week 3. Terry McLaurin led the team in receiving in week 5, with 112 yards on 4 catches.
Washington has leaned on the run game, ranking 2nd in both rushing attempts and yards per game (178.4). Daniels rushed for 82 yards on 11 carries in week 5, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 101 yards on 21 carries in week 4. The Commanders also lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 51.7% success rate.
Washington’s defense was dominant in their 34-13 win over the Browns, with 7 sacks and holding Cleveland to just 108 yards passing. The Commanders’ secondary allowed only 16 completions on 29 attempts (55.2%) and limited the Browns to a 3.7 yards per attempt. Additionally, they were tough to convert on third down, allowing just a 7.7% conversion rate.
On the ground, the Commanders gave up 104 yards on 23 attempts, with Cleveland averaging 4.5 yards per attempt. Despite this, Washington’s defense was able to control the game by pressuring the quarterback and limiting big plays.
Are The Ravens Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 41-38 victory over the Bengals in week 5. This streak has put Baltimore at the top of our power rankings and given them a 71.4% chance of winning the AFC North. They currently hold a 3-2 record, including a 1-0 mark in division play.
Against the spread, the Ravens are 3-2, covering in each of their last three games. In week 5, they narrowly covered the 2.5-point spread by beating the Bengals by 3. Their O/U record is 4-1, with an average of 54.6 points scored in their games.
Heading into week 6, the Ravens rank 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game with 447.6 and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 29.4. Baltimore has relied heavily on the run game, leading the league in rushing attempts (34.4) and yards per game (211.2). Despite ranking 3rd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in conversion percentage, with just 5%.
Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 348 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 5 without an interception. Before that, he posted passer ratings of 135 in week 4 and 139 in week 3. Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries in week 5, and Zay Flowers led the team with 7 catches for 111 yards.
In their most recent game, the Ravens gave up 371 passing yards to the Bengals, allowing five passing touchdowns and 442 total yards. Despite this, the Ravens managed to come out on top with a 41-38 overtime win. The Bengals completed 76.9% of their passes and converted on 57.1% of their third down attempts.
Baltimore’s defense did come up with one interception and had three sacks in the game. The Ravens also held the Bengals to just 71 yards on 23 rushing attempts, and they won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.