Virginia Cavaliers vs Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24

Coming into this week 11 matchup, the Pittsburgh Panthers are the heavy -7.5 point favorites over the Virginia Cavaliers. The game will be played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, with kick-off set for 8:00 ET. The over/under line is at 57.5 points. The Panthers are having a great season, sitting at 7-1, while Virginia is 4-4. You can catch this one on ACCN.
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS VS PITTSBURGH PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Panthers -7.5
This game will be played at Acrisure Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH PANTHERS:
- We have the Pittsburgh Panthers winning this one by a score of 37 to 24
- Not only do we have the Pittsburgh Panthers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 57.5 points
Will The Virginia Cavaliers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Virginia enters Week 11 with a 4-4 record, facing Pittsburgh. They rank 71st in our power rankings and have a 13% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, the Cavaliers are 2-1, while they’ve gone 1-3 at home this season.
Against the spread, Virginia is 4-2-1, with a 2-0-1 record on the road and 2-2 at home. They’ve been favored in five of their eight games, going 2-2-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 57.5 points. Virginia’s games have averaged 53.9 points, with an average over/under line of 55 points. Their over/under record stands at 3-4 this season.
Heading into week 11, Virginia’s offense ranks 64th in scoring, averaging 26.2 points per game, and they are 82nd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, ranking 41st in passing attempts and 34th in completions, with an average of 265 yards per game. They are 36th in completion percentage, connecting on 63.4% of their throws.
Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 1,805 yards, completing 62.9% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89. Virginia ranks 92nd in rushing, averaging 142.4 yards per game. Kobe Pace leads the team with 390 rushing yards. Malachi Fields has 654 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 43 catches.
Virginia’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 27.6 points per game. In their recent 41-14 loss to North Carolina, they gave up 41 points and 500 total yards. The Tar Heels ran the ball 55 times for 289 yards and four rushing touchdowns, while Virginia’s secondary allowed 211 passing yards and one touchdown.
Opponents have averaged 275.1 passing yards per game against Virginia, ranking them 158th nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 62.2% of their passes with a 95.2 passer rating. On the ground, Virginia has allowed 134.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 59th in the country.
Are The Pittsburgh Panthers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Pittsburgh enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record and a 100% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. However, their odds of winning the Atlantic Coast sit at just 1%. The Panthers are ranked 35th in our power rankings and have an 11.4% chance of making the playoff, which is 21st in the country.
The Panthers are 4-0 at home this season and have gone 4-0 as the favorite. They’ve been favored in four of their eight games and hold a +13.6 average scoring margin. Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 5-2, with a 3-1 record at home.
Pittsburgh’s over/under record is 3-4, with their games averaging 64.1 points. This week’s line is set at 57.5 points, compared to their average line of 59.9 points.
Heading into week 11, Pittsburgh’s offense is averaging 38.9 points per game, ranking 10th in the nation. However, they are 41st in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Eli Holstein has thrown for 2,056 yards with a passer rating of 100, leading the team with 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.
Pittsburgh ranks 25th in passing yards per game, averaging 291.1 yards, and they are 21st in completions. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.5%, placing them 83rd nationally. Desmond Reid leads the rushing attack with 590 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry.
Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 48 points in their recent 48-25 loss to SMU, giving up 469 total yards, including 306 passing yards and two passing touchdowns. They also allowed 163 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.
On the season, Pittsburgh ranks 18th nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 105 yards per game. However, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 144th by giving up 261.9 passing yards per game.