Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25
Looking to win big? The Commodores and Tigers face off at 3:30 ET on SECN. The Tigers are hosting the game at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points, and Missouri is favored to win by -3.5 at home vs. Vanderbilt.
VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS MISSOURI TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri Tigers -3.5
This game will be played at Mizzou Arena at 3:30 ET on Saturday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-70 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Missouri pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 156.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 148 points.
Can the Commodores Grab a Win on the Road?
Vanderbilt dropped to 13-2 on the season after a 76-64 home loss to Mississippi State on Tuesday. The Commodores entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 140, falling short of the 153.5 O/U line.
Vanderbilt trailed 39-28 at halftime and couldn’t make up ground in the 2nd half, scoring 36 points while allowing 37.
Vanderbilt struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 35.5% from the field and 19.2% from three-point range, hitting only 5 of 26 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.7%, and they managed 64 points, with 16 offensive rebounds and 11 assists.
RJ Melendez led the way with 19 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 57.1% overall. AJ Hoggard added 18 points and 3 assists, while Cameron Matthews contributed 16 points and 5 rebounds.
Vanderbilt’s defense gave up 76 points in their last game, despite holding their opponent to just 35% shooting from the field. The Commodores allowed 17 two-point baskets on 36 attempts, a 47% conversion rate.
From beyond the arc, Vanderbilt’s defense limited their opponent to 5 made threes on 26 attempts, just 19% shooting. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 20 times, where they made 15, a 75% success rate. Vanderbilt gave up 16 offensive rebounds.
Will the Missouri Defense Show Up at Home?
Missouri improved to 12-3 this season with an 83-67 win over LSU on Tuesday. Playing at home, Missouri was a -7.5 point favorite and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 150, just under the O/U line of 153.5.
Missouri took control early, leading 42-27 at halftime. In the 2nd half, they scored 41 points but allowed 40, showing some defensive lapses after the break.
Missouri’s offense put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 46.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.4%, thanks in part to hitting 48% from three-point range, connecting on 12 of 25 attempts. They also made 21 of 27 free throws, good for 77.8%.
Tamar Bates led the way with 20 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 66.7% overall and from three. Cam Carter and Anthony Robinson II each added 16 points, with Robinson dishing out 4 assists. Dji Bailey also contributed 11 points, 4 assists, and shot 62.5% from the field.
Despite Missouri’s defensive efforts, they allowed 67 points on 46% shooting from the field. The Tigers gave up 12 threes, with the opposing team hitting 48% from beyond the arc.
Missouri sent their opponents to the line 27 times, where they converted 21 free throws for 77%. The Tigers also allowed 11 offensive rebounds.