Vanderbilt Commodores vs Auburn Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/2/24
SECN is set to televise this week ten matchup between the Vanderbilt Commodores and Auburn Tigers, scheduled for 12:45 ET at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn. The over/under line is currently set at 48 points. Auburn is the -6.5 point favorite at home. Vanderbilt comes in with a 5-3 record, while Auburn is looking to improve on their 3-5 season.
VANDERBILT COMMODORES VS AUBURN TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +6.5
This game will be played at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 12:45 ET on Saturday, November 2nd.
WHY BET THE VANDERBILT COMMODORES:
- We have the Vanderbilt Commodores winning this one by a score of 26 to 17
- Not only do we have the Vanderbilt Commodores winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 48 points
Will The Vanderbilt Commodores Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Vanderbilt enters Week 10 against Auburn with a 5-3 record, ranked 37th in our power rankings. They have a 75.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 0.1% chance of winning the Southeastern. The Commodores are 2-1 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Vanderbilt’s ATS record stands at 3-2, with a +9.2 average scoring margin. They are 0-2 against the spread as favorites but have gone 3-0 ATS as underdogs.
Their over/under record is 2-2-1, with an average over/under line of 50.2 points. Vanderbilt games have averaged 54.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 48 points.
Vanderbilt’s offense ranks 20th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10, and they are 33rd in scoring, averaging 32 points per game. They have been strong on third downs, converting 49.1% of their attempts, which ranks 9th nationally. The Commodores are also 18th in passer rating, with Diego Pavia posting a rating of 107. He has thrown for 1,534 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions, completing 64.5% of his passes.
Vanderbilt is 18th in rushing attempts, averaging 38.2 carries per game, but they are 61st in rushing yards, with 157.2 yards per game. Sedrick Alexander leads the team with 412 rushing yards, 5 touchdowns, and an average of 3 yards per carry. Junior Sherrill is the top receiver, with 277 yards and 3 touchdowns on 17 catches.
Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 22.8 points per game this season, ranking 49th nationally. They’ve given up 224.2 passing yards per game, placing them 93rd, with opposing quarterbacks completing 64.8% of their passes, which ranks 129th. On the ground, Vanderbilt’s defense is allowing 115.9 rushing yards per game, the 33rd-lowest in the country, on just 29.4 rushing attempts per game, the 17th-fewest nationally.
In their recent game, a 27-24 loss to Texas, Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 27 points. They gave up 288 passing yards and three touchdowns but held Texas to 106 rushing yards. The defense also forced two interceptions during the game.
Are The Auburn Tigers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Auburn enters Week 10 with a 3-5 record, ranked 30th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 28.6% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. At home, the Tigers are 1-3, while their road record stands at 1-2.
Against the spread, Auburn is 3-4, with a 1-3 mark at home and 2-1 on the road. They’ve been favored in four games, going 1-3 ATS as the favorite.
Their over/under record is 2-5, with an average total of 47.1 points per game. Auburn’s average over/under line is 50.1 points, and this week’s line is set at 48.
Heading into week 10, Auburn’s offense ranks 53rd in points per game, scoring 27.6 on average. They are 51st in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing game is 41st nationally, with 179.1 yards per game, and they average 33.6 rushing attempts per game.
Jarquez Hunter leads the team with 863 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Quarterback Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,586 yards with 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions, posting a passer rating of 95.
Auburn’s defense played a key role in their 24-10 win over Kentucky, allowing just 10 points. They gave up 224 total yards, including 70 rushing yards on 27 attempts and 154 passing yards, while forcing two interceptions.
For the season, Auburn ranks 26th nationally, giving up 19.5 points per game. They are 30th in rushing yards allowed, at 113.8 per game, and 78th in passing yards allowed, at 213.2, with a 56.1% completion rate against them.