Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/28/24
Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Aggies and Aztecs. The game is starting at 6:00 ET on FOX, and it’s hosted by the Aztecs at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and San Diego State is favored by -4.5 to win at home against Utah State.
UTAH STATE AGGIES VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -4.5
This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 6:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th.
WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-69 in favor of the Aztecs.
- Not only will San Diego State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Will the Aggies Make it Happen in San Diego?
Utah State Aggies Recent Game/Games
Utah State improved to 10-1 on the season with a 75-68 road win over Saint Mary’s on Sunday. The Aggies entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread.
Utah State led 39-27 at halftime and added 36 points in the 2nd half, while allowing 41. The game’s total points of 143 narrowly missed the O/U line of 143.5.
Utah State’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, shooting 58.8% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 64.7%. They were particularly strong inside, hitting 70.6% of their two-point attempts, while connecting on 35.3% from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, they were efficient as well, making 9 of 11 attempts for an 81.8% success rate.
The Aggies dished out 23 assists, with Augustas Marciulionis leading the way with 8. Mitchell Saxen and Mason Falslev both contributed 18 points, with Falslev shooting 72.7% from the field. Mikey Lewis hit 3 of 5 from deep, while Ian Martinez added 11 points and 6 rebounds, despite struggling from three-point range.
Utah State’s defense gave up 68 points, allowing the opposition to shoot 44% from the field. The Aggies couldn’t contain the two-point attempts, with the other team hitting 48% of their shots inside the arc, going 14/29.
From three-point range, Utah State allowed 10 threes on 25 attempts, a 40% shooting rate. The Aggies also sent the other team to the line 19 times, where they made 10 free throws, shooting 52%. Utah State gave up 9 offensive rebounds.
Does San Diego State Have What it Takes at Home?
San Diego State improved to 7-2 on the season with a 71-50 road win over California on Saturday, December 21st. The Aztecs entered the game as -5.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 121, well under the O/U line of 144.5.
San Diego State led 25-16 at halftime and put up 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 34. Their strong 2nd half performance helped them pull away for the win.
San Diego State’s offense struggled from the field in their last game, shooting just 37.3% overall and 39% on two-point attempts. They connected on 34.6% of their threes, with Nick Boyd hitting 5 of 8 from deep, finishing with 17 points. Boyd’s overall shooting was 46.2%, while Jeremiah Wilkinson went 0 for 7 from three and 3 for 11 overall.
The Aztecs grabbed 21 offensive rebounds and hit 12 of 15 free throws for 80%. They finished with just 6 assists as a team. Miles Byrd and BJ Davis each added 12 points, with Davis hitting 2 of 4 from three and Byrd going 2 for 6.
San Diego State’s defense was dominant, holding their opponent to just 50 points on 25% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 9/31 (29%) and three-point shots to 5/24 (20%).
Even with 16 offensive rebounds allowed, the Aztecs’ defense kept the pressure on. Their opponent did manage to shoot 81% from the free-throw line, going 17/21.