Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick & Prediction 1/11/25

The Utah Jazz are 11-point underdogs as they head to Phoenix to take on the Suns. The Jazz are 14th in the Western Conference and have lost two straight games. The Suns are favored by 11 and are 12th in the West.
This Western Conference matchup will tip-off at 5:00 ET and can be seen on AZFa. The over/under line for this game is 228.5 points.
UTAH JAZZ VS PHOENIX SUNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Phoenix Suns -11
This game will be played at Footprint Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE PHOENIX SUNS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 138-89 in favor of the Suns.
- Our projections have Kevin Durant finishing with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Suns finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.1% and knocking down 16 threes.
Taking a Look at the Jazz Chances in Phoenix
Utah fell to 9-27 on the season after a 97-92 loss to the Heat on Thursday. The Jazz were +5.5 point underdogs at home but managed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 189 points was well below the O/U line of 221.
Utah got off to a strong start, leading 27-20 after the 1st quarter, but a rough 2nd quarter saw them outscored 26-14. They bounced back in the 3rd, taking a 70-68 lead into the 4th, but were outscored 29-22 in the final period.
In their 97-92 loss to the Heat, the Jazz shot just 39.8% from the field and 30.6% from three-point range, making 11 threes overall. Collin Sexton and Lauri Markkanen each scored 23 points, with Sexton shooting 50% from the field.
Markkanen hit 6 threes at a 40% clip, adding 9 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. Walker Kessler contributed 9 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 80% from the floor.
Even with a strong defensive effort, the Jazz couldn’t secure the win, allowing 97 points to the Heat. Utah gave up 20 points in the 1st quarter, 26 in the 2nd, 22 in the 3rd, and 29 in the 4th. Overall, they held Miami to 39% shooting from the field.
The Jazz also limited the Heat’s three-point shooting, with Miami making 14 threes at a 28% clip. Utah sent the Heat to the line 15 times, where they hit 11 free throws. Defensively, the Jazz recorded 9 steals and 7 blocks.
Are Phoenix Ready for a Home Win?
With a 123-115 win over the Hawks on Thursday, the Suns improved to 17-19 for the season. Playing at home, Phoenix covered the -6.5 point spread, while the game’s total of 238 points fell just short of the 239-point O/U line.
A key 12-0 run early in the game helped the Suns gain control, but the Hawks responded by outscoring Phoenix 41-30 in the 2nd quarter. The Suns tightened up defensively, holding Atlanta to 20 points in the 3rd quarter, and entered the 4th with a 98-92 lead. Phoenix edged the Hawks 25-23 in the final period to seal the win.
In their win over the Hawks, the Suns shot 57.6% from the field, with Bradley Beal leading the way at 68.8%, finishing with 25 points. Grayson Allen also contributed 23 points, hitting 5 threes at 83.3%.
Kevin Durant added 23 points, 14 of which came in the 1st quarter. Allen scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, while the Suns made 13 threes, shooting 39.4% from beyond the arc.
Defensively, the Suns struggled in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up 72 points, but they tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 20 points in the 3rd and 23 in the 4th to help secure the win. Overall, they gave up 115 points on 48% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Suns allowed the Hawks to hit 15 threes at a 46% clip. They also sent the Hawks to the line 17 times, where they made 16 free throws. The Suns finished with 7 steals and 6 blocks in the game.