UNLV Rebels vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24

UNLV is on the road this week as they head to Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu to take on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Kick-off is set for 9:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th, with CBSS handling the broadcast. The Rebels are 6-2 this season, while Hawaii comes in at 4-5. The over/under line is at 49.5 points, and UNLV is the heavy favorite at -13 points.

UNLV REBELS VS HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +13

This game will be played at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex at 9:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.

WHY BET THE HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS:

• We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 27 to 18
• Even though we like the UNLV Rebels to win, our ATS pick is to take the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at +13
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The UNLV Rebels Win As Road Favorites?

UNLV enters Week 11 with a 6-2 record, and they are 4-0 on the road this season. They are 100% bowl-eligible and have an 18.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels are ranked 42nd in our power rankings and have a +17.8 average scoring margin this season.

UNLV is 4-2 against the spread, going 3-1 on the road and 1-1 at home. They’ve been favored in three games, with a 2-1 ATS record as the favorite and a 2-1 mark as the underdog.

Their over/under record is 2-4, with an average line of 58.7 points. UNLV games have averaged 64.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 49.5 points.

UNLV’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 5th in points per game with 41.1. They are also 9th in rushing, averaging 244.6 yards per game on the ground. Heading into week 11, they are 29th in our offensive power rankings.

Hajj-Malik Williams leads the Rebels with a passer rating of 122, having thrown for 1,017 yards and 12 touchdowns with three interceptions. Ricky White III has caught nine touchdown passes and has 671 receiving yards this season.

UNLV’s defense, ranked 33rd nationally, has allowed 23.4 points per game this season. They’ve given up 270 passing yards per game, ranking 152nd, but have held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 70.7, the 21st-lowest in the country. Additionally, they’ve allowed a 58.4% completion rate.

In their recent game against Boise State, UNLV’s defense allowed 29 points and 541 total yards, including 322 passing yards and four touchdowns. They also gave up 219 rushing yards on 46 attempts.

Are The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Going Win In At Upset At Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Hawaii enters Week 11 with a 4-5 record, ranked 107th in our power rankings. They have a 50% chance of reaching bowl eligibility but just a 0.1% chance of winning the Mountain West. At home, they are 1-2, while their road record stands at 1-3.

Against the spread, Hawaii is 3-3-1, with a 2-0-1 mark at home. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, holding a -0.6 average scoring margin.

The over/under line for this week is 49.5 points. Hawaii’s games have averaged 43.4 points, with their over/under record at 2-5. Their average line this season has been 50.1 points.

Hawaii’s offense has been centered around their passing game, ranking 8th in passing attempts per game. They are 40th in passing yards, averaging 243.3 yards per game, and 12th in completions. Overall, they are 85th in scoring, with 21.4 points per game, and we have them 87th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11.

Brayden Schager has thrown for 2,185 yards, with 16 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 82. Hawaii is 100th in passer rating nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is 36.1%, and they are 113th in rushing, averaging 104.2 yards per game. Landon Sims leads the team with 281 rushing yards. Pofele Ashlock has 521 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

Hawaii’s defense has been solid this season, allowing just 22 points per game, which ranks 42nd nationally. In their recent game against Fresno State, they gave up only 20 points and allowed just 14 first downs. Fresno State managed just 19 rushing yards on 21 attempts, while Hawaii’s secondary gave up 157 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 121.2 rushing yards per game against Hawaii, while quarterbacks have posted a 97.4 passer rating, completing 67.6% of their throws. Hawaii’s defense has faced 30.6 pass attempts per game and is allowing 213.9 passing yards per contest.