UMass Minutemen vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week five non-conference matchup between the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the UMass Minutemen, set to kick off at 3:30 ET from Yager Stadium in Oxford. Miami (OH) is winless this season, while UMass has one win. The over/under is at 47.5 points, and Miami (OH) is the heavy favorite at -18.5 points.
UMASS MINUTEMEN VS MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UMass Minutemen +18.5
This game will be played at Yager Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, September 28th.
WHY BET THE UMASS MINUTEMEN:
- We have the Miami (OH) RedHawks winning this one by a score of 34 to 20
- Even though we like the Miami (OH) RedHawks to win, our ATS pick is to take the UMass Minutemen at +18.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The UMass Minutemen Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
UMass is now 1-3 on the season after their 35-31 victory over Central Connecticut. No betting lines were available for this matchup, but the Minutemen came out on top in a high-scoring game, with the two teams combining for 66 points.
UMass led 7-0 early, but Central Connecticut fought back to tie the game at 21-21 by halftime. The Minutemen and Blue Devils each scored once in the third quarter, and UMass outscored Central Connecticut 7-3 in the fourth quarter to get the win.
UMass’s offense was led by quarterback Taisun Phommachanh, who threw for 287 yards and three touchdowns, completing 66.7% of his passes. Jakobie Keeney-James was his top target, hauling in five receptions for 95 yards. The Minutemen’s passing game was responsible for 287 yards, with a total of 453 yards of offense.
On the ground, UMass picked up 166 yards, with Jalen John leading the way with 65 yards on 13 carries. The Minutemen’s offense moved the chains 27 times and scored a total of three passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns.
UMass’s defense will be looking to improve after allowing 247 total yards and 157 passing yards in their most recent game. They gave up two touchdowns on the ground but managed to limit Central Connecticut to 90 rushing yards. The Minutemen’s secondary picked off one pass, and they’ll aim to tighten up in coverage to prevent big plays in the passing game.
Are The Miami (OH) RedHawks Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Miami (OH) is looking to get in the win column after starting the season 0-3. In their most recent game, the RedHawks were on the road against Notre Dame and lost 28-3. Despite the defeat, Miami (OH) covered the spread as +27.5 point underdogs, and the total score of 31 points was under the 43.5-point over/under line.
Neither team scored in the first quarter, but Notre Dame took a 14-3 lead by halftime. The RedHawks added a field goal in the second quarter, and Notre Dame outscored them 14-0 in the third quarter, leading to the final score of 28-3.
In their 28-3 loss to Notre Dame, Miami (OH) struggled to move the ball, finishing with just 229 total yards. The RedHawks’ offense managed to pick up 17 first downs, but they were held to 110 rushing yards on 28 attempts. In the passing game, Miami (OH) gained 119 yards on 14 completions, with Brett Gabbert going 14/35 for 119 yards, two interceptions, and a passer rating of 25.77.
Keyon Mozee led the team in rushing with 36 yards on six carries, while Cade McDonald was the top receiver with four catches for 52 yards.
Miami (OH) will be looking for a much better performance from their run defense, as they gave up 270 yards and three rushing touchdowns to Notre Dame. Overall, the RedHawks allowed 428 total yards and 28 points. Notre Dame’s ground game was the key, with Miami (OH) giving up 9.4 yards per carry. The RedHawks also allowed 158 yards through the air on 17 completions.