UConn Huskies vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Pick & Prediction Wasabi Fenway Bowl
North Carolina is the -4.5 point favorite as they face off against the UConn Huskies in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl, set for 11:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th. The game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston, with ESPN handling the broadcast. The over/under line is currently at 55.5 points. UConn comes in with an 8-4 record, while North Carolina is 6-6 on the season.
UCONN HUSKIES VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UConn Huskies +4.5
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 11:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th.
WHY BET THE UCONN HUSKIES:
- We have the North Carolina Tar Heels winning this one by a score of 28 to 24
- Even though we like the North Carolina Tar Heels to win, our ATS pick is to take the UConn Huskies at +4.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points
Are The UConn Huskies A Candidate To Pull Off An Upset?
UConn enters Week 13 with an 8-4 record, going 5-1 at home and 2-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in seven games this season, going 7-0 as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 0-4. The Huskies have an average scoring margin of +8.5 points per game.
Against the spread, UConn is 6-4-1, with a 3-2 record on the road and 3-2-1 at home. As the favorite, they are 4-2-1 ATS, and they’ve gone 2-2 ATS as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is 55.5, higher than any of their previous games. UConn’s average over/under line has been 49 points, and their over/under record is 6-4-1, with their games averaging 56.2 points.
UConn’s offense has leaned on their run game, averaging 202.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 22nd nationally. Cam Edwards leads the team with 756 rushing yards, seven touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Overall, UConn is scoring 32.3 points per game, placing them 30th in the country.
Quarterback Joe Fagnano has thrown for 1,480 yards and 18 touchdowns, with four interceptions. He has a passer rating of 106. UConn ranks 92nd in passing yards per game. Skyler Bell leads the receivers with 783 yards and four touchdowns. Heading into week 1, UConn is ranked 101st in our offensive power rankings.
UConn’s defense has allowed an average of 23.8 points per game this season, including 42 points in their recent win over UMass. They gave up 396 total yards, with 190 rushing yards on 41 attempts and 206 passing yards, allowing four passing touchdowns.
Opponents are averaging 140.9 rushing yards per game and 223.8 passing yards against UConn. Quarterbacks have completed 60.3% of their passes, with a passer rating of 80 against the Huskies’ defense.
Can The North Carolina Tar Heels Win As The Favorite On A Neutral Field?
North Carolina enters Week 13 with a 6-6 record, going 3-2 on the road and 2-4 at home. They’ve been favored in eight games, posting a 4-4 record as the favorite. At home, they are 2-2 as the favorite and 0-2 as the underdog.
The Tar Heels have struggled against the spread, holding a 2-8-1 record. They are 0-6 ATS at home and 2-2-1 on the road. As the favorite, they’ve gone 1-6-1 ATS.
Their over/under record stands at 5-6, with an average total of 60.5 points per game. This week’s line is 55.5 points, slightly above their average line of 55.1 points.
North Carolina’s offense is averaging 32.3 points per game, placing them 30th in the nation. They are 58th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 1. Their ground game is their strength, with 190 rushing yards per game on 38.8 attempts.
Omarion Hampton leads the rushing attack with 1,660 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 2,452 yards and 15 touchdowns, with six interceptions. His passer rating is 90. J.J. Jones has 570 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
North Carolina’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 28.2 points per game, including 35 points in their recent 35-30 loss to NC State. They gave up 462 total yards, with 220 rushing yards on 46 attempts and 242 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 146.1 rushing yards per game and 232.6 passing yards against North Carolina. Quarterbacks have completed 57% of their passes, with a passer rating of 86.5 against the Tar Heels’ defense.