UCF Knights vs Texas Longhorns Betting Pick & Prediction 1/17/24
Planning on watching today’s Knights and Longhorns game? Catch the action at Moody Center in Austin, TX, as the Longhorns hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on LHN. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points, and the Longhorns are favored to win at home vs. the Knights.
UCF KNIGHTS VS TEXAS LONGHORNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCF Knights +8.5
This game will be played at Moody Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 17th.
WHY BET THE UCF KNIGHTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Longhorns.
- Even though we have Texas winning straight-up, we like UCF at +8.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.
Does UCF Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
UCF enters this game as an underdog, as they have gone 1-3 in games where they are not favored this season. The Knights are 10-5 overall, including a 1-2 record in Big 12 play.
On the road, UCF has struggled this season, going just 1-2. Over their last ten road games, the Knights have gone 4-6, and they are coming off a 63-58 loss to BYU.
When looking at UCF’s ATS record this season, they are sitting at 7-7-1. However, their road ATS mark is currently 0-3. Over their last 3 road games, the Knights are 0-3 vs. the spread and they are 1-4 over their last 5 road games vs. the spread. As the underdog, UCF is 1-2-1 vs. the spread this year and they are 5-4-1 over their last 10 games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 138.5 for UCF’s game against Texas is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.1). So far, their over/under record is 8-7. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 138.5. Right now, their over/under record in their last 10 games is 4-6.
In their most recent game, the UCF offense concluded with only 58 points against BYU. Throughout the game, they made 3/18 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 29.3%. The team’s top scorer is Jaylin Sellers, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.5, while Darius Johnson also carries a PPG average of 14.4 into the game.
Currently, the Knights’ defense holds the 37th rank in the nation, allowing 64.7 points per game. In their previous game vs. BYU, the Cougars finished with a field goal percentage of 29% and a total of 63 points vs. UCF.
Do the Longhorns Have What it Takes at Home?
After a tough 76-73 loss to West Virginia, Texas will look to bounce back as they host UCF. The Longhorns come in as 8.5-point favorites, and they have gone 11-2 this season when favored.
Overall, Texas is 12-4, including a 10-2 record at home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Longhorns have gone 8-2.
As the favorite this season, Texas has an ATS record of 4-9 and an overall ATS mark of 5-11. At home, the Longhorns are 4-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Texas is just 3-7 ATS.
This season, the over/under record for Texas games is 8-8. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 144.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (147). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points.
The Longhorns’ offense wrapped up their last game with 73 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77.7 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Max Abmas, who holds an average of 18 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrese Hunter is averaging 11.6 points per game this season.
At this time, the Longhorns’ defense is positioned 65th in the country, permitting 66.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. UCF. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.1%.