The last time the U.S. Open was at Torrey Pines, Tiger Woods won in a playoff over Rocco Mediate. That 2008 tournament is the last time that this tournament has ended in a playoff, but it certainly isn’t the last time a score of 1-under was good enough to win. The winning score has been 1-over three times since and even par once. This is about as tough of a setup as a tournament can get, even with picturesque weather expected on the South Course in San Diego. We’re looking ahead to a great tournament with a star-studded field. Odds for the U.S. Open come from BetOnline Sportsbook. These have been up for a while, so we’ve seen some movement over the last several weeks, but these lines are accurate as of Monday afternoon. We’ll put the odds down at the bottom of the article because there are so many players in this field and a lot that simply have zero chance of winning.

The Field & Betting Odds

Jon Rahm is the +1000 favorite this week, even though he was forced to withdraw from the Memorial Tournament because of a positive COVID-19 test. He led that event by six shots before having to leave the event to quarantine. Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson are the co-second favorites at +1600. Koepka is a two-time U.S. Open champ. DJ won at Oakmont back in 2016. Koepka won two in a row in 2017 and 2018 and finished runner-up in 2019. Even though he missed the cut last week at the Palmetto Championship, he is getting lots of respect. Reigning U.S. Open champ Bryson DeChambeau is +1800 alongside Xander Schauffele, who is becoming like Tony Finau as a guy that can finish high, but can’t win. Speaking of Finau, he’s +2800, just below guys like Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, and Patrick Cantlay. All of golf’s best are on hand, which means that you’ll get some great players at really good numbers, like Daniel Berger and Webb Simpson at 50/1. PGA Championship winner Phil Mickelson is 70/1. Last week’s winner, Garrick Higgo, is 66/1. The best of the best usually win at the majors, but there are some really good prices out there on some very capable golfers.

Torrey Pines Preview

Torrey Pines Golf Course is one that the players know very, very well. They just played on this course back in January for the Farmers Insurance Open. Patrick Reed won that tournament by five shots over Tony Finau, Viktor Hovland, Henrik Norlander, Ryan Palmer, and Xander Schauffele. Obviously there are a lot of differences with the U.S. Open. It’s June, not January and warmer weather should help the players on the South Course, which comes in at over 7,700 yards depending on the pin placements. We’ll also have a smattering of fans around the grounds. The course format will be much tougher, as it should be for a U.S. Open. The U.S. Open layouts are typically very challenging. The lowest winning score for the Farmers since 2008 is 6-under. Most have been in the low-to-mid teens. Tiger won at 1-under in 2008. We’ll see a tougher, feistier Torrey Pines here for the major. The players also play one round on the North Course at Torrey Pines for the Farmers, but all four rounds will be on the South Course this week.

Yay or Neigh?

Our Horse for Course section looks at guys that play well on the course and how their past results could be a factor this week. We have a ton of course form data this week for the U.S. Open. That isn’t always the case. Courses like Winged Foot, Erin Hills, Shinnecock Hills, and Chambers Bay have not given us that luxury. This week, we can basically look back at every Farmers Insurance Open. The course will play tougher and it is hard to parse out the rounds on the North Course from the rounds on the South Course, but the last 36 holes are on the South Course no matter what, so guys that have played well here have earned their high finishes. A lot of guys play well here. Over 20 rounds, Rahm leads in the Course History Index on the South Course per DataGolf. Rory is second. Tony Finau is third. Finau was runner-up here in January and sixth in 2020. He’s finished in the top 15 in four straight events at Torrey Pines and in the top 25 in all seven starts. Finau is +2800 this week. Ryan Palmer plays really well here, including his T-2 back in January. He was 21st in 2020 and was also runner-up in 2018. He was 13th in 2019. He’s got a big price of 175/1 in a loaded field. Marc Leishman is another guy with success here that has a big number at 80/1. Leishman won here back in 2020, is a two-time runner-up, and has two other top-10 finishes. Rory has three starts here and has finished in the top five twice and was 16th earlier this year. Maybe the most interesting player is Patrick Reed at +3000. He won here in January and was sixth here last year. He’s actually had four straight top-25 finishes. Justin Rose is 60/1 with a win here back in 2019 and a couple of top-10 finishes prior to that. He missed the cut in 2020 and did not play here earlier this year.

Who is in Major Form?

A few big names played well last week at the Palmetto Championship. Garrick Higgo won, but Tyrrell Hatton was among those tied for second. Dustin Johnson finally scored a top-10 finish, his first since February. Matthew Fitzpatrick was 10th last week. It’s more about the guys that have consistently been finishing well, though. Collin Morikawa has five top-20 finishes in his last six events, including a runner-up two weeks ago. That event two weeks ago was the Memorial, which Patrick Cantlay won after Jon Rahm’s WD. Patrick Reed was fifth there and has four top-20 finishes to go with two missed cuts in his last six events. Scottie Scheffler was third at the Memorial. Jordan Spieth has two top-five finishes and another top-10 finish in his last five events. Jason Kokrak won the AT&T Byron Nelson a few weeks ago and hasn’t played since. Abraham Ancer missed the cut at the Memorial, but had five top-20 finishes and three top-10 finishes the five events before that. Xander Schauffele has four top-15 finishes in his last five, including that third-place finish at The Masters. Paul Casey has two top-10 finishes in his last two events, including a fourth at the PGA Championship. Louis Oosthuizen has two runner-up finishes in his last four events to go with an 18th and an eighth. A lot of great players are in very good form.

2021 U.S. Open Picks

This is extremely hard. There are so many players in great form right now and most of them aren’t even the favorites. Driving accuracy is very important because the rough is typically penal at Torrey Pines and even more penal for the U.S. Open setup most years. Collin Morikawa fits the course well at +2200. He’s 12th in driving accuracy and first in SG: Tee-to-Green. The greens aren’t as challenging at Torrey Pines as most major courses, so he’s got a great shot this week. Corey Conners is not in great form, but at 80/1 with his skill set and ball-striking ability, he’s a good bet. He’s 10th in driving accuracy and 12th in SG: T2G this season. Conners drove the ball well in January, but struggled on the greens. He’s been in much better putting form otherwise this season. Look for matchups and chances to bet guys to win as the tournament goes along.

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BETTING ODDS FOR THE 2021 U.S. OPEN

Jon Rahm +1000
Brooks Koepka +1600
Dustin Johnson +1600
Bryson DeChambeau +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Jordan Spieth +2000
Rory McIlroy +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Justin Thomas +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Tony Finau +2800
Viktor Hovland +2800
Patrick Reed +3000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Scottie Scheffler +4000
Will Zalatoris +4500
Daniel Berger +5000
Shane Lowry +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Webb Simpson +5000
Cameron Smith +5500
Louis Oosthuizen +5500
Justin Rose +6000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +6000
Paul Casey +6000
Garrick Higgo +6600
Abraham Ancer +7000
Joaquin Niemann +7000
Phil Mickelson +7000
Jason Kokrak +7500
Charley Hoffman +8000
Corey Conners +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Tommy Fleetwood +8000
Adam Scott +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Harris English +10000
Max Homa +10000
Sungjae Im +10000
Sam Burns +11000
Branden Grace +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Sergio Garcia +12500
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Christian Bezuidenhout +15000
Kevin Streelman +15000
Lee Westwood +15000
Si Woo Kim +15000
Billy Horschel +17500
Bubba Watson +17500
Ryan Palmer +17500
Stewart Cink +17500
Wilco Nienaber +17500
Charl Schwartzel +20000
Ian Poulter +20000
Jhonattan Vegas +20000
Matt Jones +20000
Matt Wallace +20000
Matthew Wolff +20000
Robert MacIntyre +20000
Bernd Wiesberger +25000
Cameron Champ +25000
Erik van Rooyen +25000
Francesco Molinari +25000
Matt Kuchar +25000
Russell Henley +25000
Brendon Todd +30000
Cameron Young +30000
Chez Reavie +30000
Jimmy Walker +30000
Kevin Kisner +30000
Kevin Na +30000
Lanto Griffin +30000
Sebastian Munoz +30000
Adam Hadwin +35000
Dylan Frittelli +35000
Henrik Stenson +35000
Martin Kaymer +35000
Patrick Rodgers +35000
Rafael Cabrera Bello +35000
Victor Perez +35000
Zach Johnson +35000
Brendan Steele +40000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +40000
Thomas Detry +40000
Troy Merritt +40000
Wyndham Clark +40000
Adrian Meronk +50000
Bo Hoag +50000
Brain Stuard +50000
Dylan Wu +50000
Fabian Gomez +50000
Greyson Sigg +50000
Guido Migliozzi +50000
JJ. Spaun +50000
John Huh +50000
Jordan Smith +50000
JT. Poston +50000
Justin Suh +50000
Mackenzie Hughes +50000
Marcus Armitage +50000
Martin Laird +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Pierceson Coody +50000
Richard Bland +50000
Robby Shelton +50000
Ryo Ishikawa +50000
Sahith Theegala +50000
Sam Ryder +50000
Sung Kang +50000
Taylor Pendrith +50000
Thomas Aiken +50000
Tom Hoge +50000
Akshay Bhatia +60000
Chan Kim +60000
Dave Coupland +60000
Edoardo Molinari +60000
Hayden Buckley +60000
Johannes Veerman +60000
Matthew Southgate +60000
Tyler Strafaci +60000
Luis Fernando Barco +75000
Matthias Schmid +75000
Alvaro Ortiz +100000
Andy Pope +100000
Brad Kennedy +100000
Hayden Springer +100000
Joe Long +100000
Paul Barjon +100000
Taylor Montgomery +100000
Wade Ormsby +100000
Andrew Kozan +150000
Charles Osbourne +150000
Dylan Meyer +150000
Rick Lamb +150000
Rikuya Hoshino +150000
Spencer Ralston +150000
Yosuke Asaji +150000
Roy Cootes +175000
Wilson Furr +175000
Carson Schaake +200000
Chris Baker +200000
Christopher Crawford +200000
Davis Shore +200000
Eric Cole +200000
Jimmy Hervol +200000
Joe Highsmith +200000
Kyle Westermoreland +200000
Luis Gagne +200000
Mario Carmona +200000
Matthew Sharpstrene +200000
Michael Johnson +200000
Steve Allan +200000
Zach Zaback +200000