Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24

At 5:00 ET, this Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana Ragin Cajuns matchup will be played at Cajun Field in Lafayette. The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns come in with an 8-2 record, while the Troy Trojans are 3-7 on the season. The game is being televised on ESPN+, and the over/under is set at 53.5 points, with Louisiana as the -11.5 point favorite at home.
TROY TROJANS VS LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -11.5
This game will be played at Cajun Field at 5:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS:
- We have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning this one by a score of 37 to 24
- Not only do we have the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -11.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 53.5 points
Will The Troy Trojans Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Troy enters Week 13 with a 3-7 record and no chance of bowl eligibility. They are ranked 98th in our CFB power rankings. On the road, Troy is 1-4, while they’ve gone 1-3 at home this season.
Their average scoring margin is -4 points per game, and they are 4-5 against the spread. Troy has been favored in just two games this year, going 0-2 ATS as the favorite and 4-3 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 53.5 points. Troy’s average O/U line this season is 50 points, and their over/under record is 4-5, with games averaging 50 points.
Heading into week 13, Troy’s offense ranks 75th in scoring, averaging 23 points per game. They are 81st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is 82nd nationally, with 211 yards per game, and they rank 67th in passing attempts. However, they are 6th in third-down conversions, converting 50.8% of their attempts, and their completion percentage is 30th at 64.2%.
Quarterback Matthew Caldwell has thrown for 1,191 yards with a passer rating of 88. He has eight touchdowns and six interceptions. Running back Damien Taylor has rushed for 774 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Devonte Ross leads the receivers with 878 yards and 10 touchdowns on 63 catches.
Troy’s defense is currently ranked 62nd in the nation, allowing 27 points per game. They’ve given up an average of 207.7 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks posting a 93.3 passer rating and completing 67.6% of their throws. On the ground, Troy has allowed 163.5 rushing yards per game.
In their recent game against Georgia Southern, Troy’s defense allowed 20 points and 246 total yards. They limited Georgia Southern to 75 rushing yards on 20 attempts and 171 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.
Are The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Louisiana enters Week 13 with an 8-2 record, hosting Troy. They are 4-0 on the road and 2-2 at home this season. The Ragin’ Cajuns have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 43.5% shot at winning the Sun Belt. They’ve been favored in five games, going 4-1 as the favorite.
Louisiana’s ATS record stands at 4-4, with a 3-1 mark on the road and 1-3 at home. As favorites, they are 2-3 against the spread, and their average scoring margin this season is +11.9 points per game.
Their over/under record is 4-4, with an average line of 58.9 points. They average 55.9 points per game, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.
Louisiana’s offense is averaging 33.9 points per game, placing them 23rd in the nation as they head into week 13. They are ranked 17th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been strong, averaging 267.7 yards per game, and they are 11th in third-down conversions, converting 47.9% of their attempts. They also rank 9th in completion percentage.
Ben Wooldridge has thrown for 2,392 yards, completing 68.1% of his passes, with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109. Bill Davis leads the rushing attack with 635 yards and 5 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Lance LeGendre has 590 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Louisiana’s defense has allowed an average of 22 points per game this season, ranking 35th nationally. In their recent game against South Alabama, they gave up 24 points, including three rushing touchdowns, but held the Jaguars to just 95 rushing yards. Through the air, Louisiana allowed 285 passing yards but also recorded an interception.
Opponents have averaged 158.7 rushing yards per game against Louisiana and 184.2 passing yards, which ranks 33rd in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 65.3% of their passes against Louisiana’s defense, and the team has faced an average of 33.2 rushing attempts and 29.4 passes per game.