Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Pick & Prediction 3/2/25
Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Maple Leafs versus the Penguins? The puck drops at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on TNT. The game will be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA. The Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 in this Eastern conference contest against the Penguins. The game’s over/under currently sits at 6.5 goals.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS PITTSBURGH PENGUINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena at 1:00 ET on Sunday, March 2nd.
WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH PENGUINS:
- Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
- Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Penguins (+1.5)
Will the Maple Leafs Defense Show Up on the Road?
Toronto’s latest outing was a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, moving their record to 37-20-2. The Maple Leafs trailed early, giving up a goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up with a power-play goal at 19:08. The Wild scored the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime.
The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Toronto, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. Their lone goal came from Nylander, bringing his season total to 9.
Toronto’s offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander scored his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th.
The Leafs fired 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after Nylander’s first-period tally. They also recorded 10 giveaways in the game.
Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner 2:14 into overtime, but they didn’t allow any goals in the second or third periods. Goalie Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Can Pittsburgh Secure a Home Victory?
Pittsburgh improved to 24-29-9 with a 3-1 win over the Canadiens. The Penguins covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 4 goals fell short of the 6.5 goal line.
Sidney Crosby led the way with two goals, and Blake Lizotte added another with 0:45 left in the game. The Canadiens scored at 14:28 in the third period, but Pittsburgh responded with Lizotte’s goal to seal the win.
Sidney Crosby led the Penguins’ offense with two goals in their 3-1 win over the Canadiens. He scored his fourth goal of the season at 4:03 in the first period and added a fifth on a power play at 1:20 in the second. Blake Lizotte secured his second goal of the season, finding the net on an empty net with 45 seconds left in the game.
Pittsburgh took 24 shots on goal and recorded 14 giveaways. Lars Eller picked up his third assist of the season on Lizotte’s empty-netter, while Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson were credited with assists on Crosby’s second goal, giving them three and seven assists on the year, respectively.
Defensively, the Penguins will look to carry their momentum from their last game, where they allowed just one goal to Montreal. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves, posting a 96.2% save percentage. Pittsburgh’s defense also contributed 5 takeaways and 19 hits.