Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Pick & Prediction 4/24/25

The Maple Leafs and Senators are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Senators will host the game at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The over/under for this Atlantic division contest is set at 5.5 goals, with the Senators being favored by -1.5 at home against the Maple Leafs.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5
This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, April 24th.
WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:
- Based on our analysis, we foresee the Senators winning the game with a predicted score of 4-2.
- Take the Senators on the moneyline
- The Senators should also cover at -1.5
Will Toronto Find a Way to Win on the Road?
The Maple Leafs fell to 52-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. As the underdog on the puck line, Toronto failed to cover. The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3.
Toronto conceded the first goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up with a power-play goal at 19:08. The Wild secured the win with a goal at 2:14 in overtime.
William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, as the Maple Leafs fell 2-1 in overtime to the Wild. Nylander scored at 19:08 in the first period, with Auston Matthews earning his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner picking up his 12th.
Toronto fired 28 shots on goal but was held scoreless after the first period. The Leafs had 10 giveaways in the game.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
Does Ottawa Stand a Chance at Home?
With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 45-30-7. Ottawa, favored by -1.5 goals, covered the puck line with ease. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the game’s combined 3 goals fell well short.
Three different players scored for the Senators, with Tim Stützle’s goal at 17:46 in the third period sealing the victory. Ottawa’s defense held Seattle to 22 shots, while Anton Forsberg earned the shutout.
Ottawa’s offense took 23 shots on goal in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also netted his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.
The Senators recorded 11 giveaways and scored in each period. Gaudette’s goal came at 14:32 in the first, Tkachuk scored at 8:49 in the second, and Stützle’s empty-netter came at 2:14 in the third.
The Senators’ defense was rock solid in their last game, leading to a 3-0 win over Seattle. Anton Forsberg stopped all 22 shots for a 100% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 25 hits.