Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Betting Pick & Prediction 4/15/25

Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Sabres face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Sabres are hosting the game at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. The Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 in this Atlantic divisional contest against the Sabres. The game’s over/under currently sits at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Sabres +1.5

This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, April 15th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:

• With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
• Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
• On the puck line, we like Sabres (+1.5)

Does Toronto Stand a Chance on the Road?

The Maple Leafs fell to 50-26-4 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. Toronto trailed early, giving up a goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it with a power-play goal at 19:08. The game stayed even until the Wild scored the winning goal 2:14 into overtime.

As underdogs on the puck line, Toronto didn’t cover. The total was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. All the scoring happened in the first period, with the Maple Leafs failing to find the net again after Nylander’s goal.

Toronto’s offense came up short in a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander netted his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews earning his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th. The Maple Leafs put 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after the first period.

Toronto had 10 giveaways and was unable to capitalize on any shorthanded or empty net opportunities. After Minnesota took an early lead, Nylander’s goal tied the game at 1-1 with 52 seconds left in the first period.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner at 2:14 in overtime. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage. Toronto’s defense also recorded 24 blocks, 30 hits, and 2 takeaways.

Will Buffalo Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Buffalo dropped to 35-38-7 after a 2-1 loss to the Red Wings. The Sabres held a 1-0 lead after the first period, but Detroit responded with two unanswered goals in the second. Buffalo was the underdog on the puck line, and the total of 3 goals fell short of the 6.5 line.

Alex Tuch scored the Sabres’ only goal, a short-handed effort at 11:39 in the first period. Buffalo’s defense struggled in the second, allowing both of Detroit’s goals on the power play.

In their recent matchup against the Red Wings, the Sabres fired 32 shots on goal but only managed to score once. Alex Tuch netted his 5th goal of the season, coming on a shorthanded opportunity 8:21 into the first period.

Buffalo had 13 giveaways and didn’t register any assists in the game. After Tuch’s early goal, the Sabres were held scoreless in the second and third periods.

Defensively, the Sabres will look to bounce back after giving up two goals in their previous game, both of which were power-play goals in the second period. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made 21 saves with a 91.3% save percentage, while the defense contributed 5 takeaways and 17 hits.