Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 5/8/24
The Phillies head into Wednesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Blue Jays looking to complete the sweep, as they have won the first two games of this series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 1:05 PM ET. Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays.
Philadelphia is currently 26-11 this season, and they are the favorites on the money line today at -162. As for the Blue Jays, they are 16-20 overall. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +134
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:05 ET on Wednesday, May 8th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to a 10-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -115 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Jose Berrios got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs.
Bryce Harper and Kody Clemens each homered for the Phillies, while Bryson Stott scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Danny Jansen had a two-hit game for the Blue Jays.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 7.5 games. Overall, the Blue Jays are 16-20 and have dropped two straight games. Toronto lost the series opener vs. the Phillies and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
As the road underdog, the Blue Jays are 3-9 this year compared to 13-9 as the favorite. Toronto has lost seven straight games as the underdog, and they are 8-7 at home compared to 8-13 on the road. So far, they are 5-5 in AL East matchups.
When it comes to run line betting, the Blue Jays have been a tough team to figure out. They have an overall run line record of 15-21, with a 6-9 mark at home and a 9-12 record on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and have failed to cover the run line in six straight games in which they were favored. Overall, they are 11-11 against the run line as the favorite and 4-10 as the underdog.
The Blue Jays have gone over the total in four straight games, and their over/under record on the season is now 16-19. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have played in five games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in six of their eight games with that line.
Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.45 ERA. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is 1.68, and he has issued 4.46 walks per nine innings compared to 8.42 strikeouts. In his last outing, Bassitt took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed six homers on the road and has an ERA of 6.29 away from home.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. As a team, they are batting .226, and their team on-base percentage is just 14th in the league. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Justin Turner and Daulton Varsho are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 16 apiece. Varsho has gone deep six times this season, which is 6th in the league, and Turner is also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers. Turner comes into the game with a batting average of .282, while Varsho is hitting just .236. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, with four homers, but he is batting just .234 for the season.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is currently at home, hosting the Blue Jays, and they lead the NL East by three games over the Braves. The Phillies have an overall record of 26-11, and they have won seven straight games, including taking the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays. So far, they are 3-3 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Phillies have gone 15-6 this year, and they are 11-5 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 22-8. They are also 4-3 when coming into a game as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 7-2-2 and have won three straight series.
Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 19-18 overall. The Phillies have been especially good at home, going 10-11 against the run line. They have been favored in 30 games and have gone 15-15 against the run line in those contests. Philadelphia has covered the run line in two straight games and has an average run margin of +1.5 runs per game this season.
Through 35 games, the Phillies have an over/under record of 17-18. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Blue Jays is 8.5 runs. This season, the Phillies have played in four games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over/under record in those games is 3-6. Overall, 64.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.32 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Not only do they have a strong team batting average of .258, but they are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 2nd best OPS in the league.
Both Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bohm hitting .353 over his last nine games and Harper batting .290 with three homers over his last 10 games. Bohm is 2nd on the team with a .349 batting average and has gone deep four times. Harper is also near the top of the league in home runs, with nine.