Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 6/23/24
On Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, the Blue Jays and Guardians face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, and the Guardians are the slight money line favorite at -112. The money line odds for a Blue Jays win are sitting at -107, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Triston McKenzie will be starting for the Guardians, and they are 48-26 overall and have won four straight. The Blue Jays will be sending Yusei Kikuchi to the mound, and they are 35-41, putting them 5th in the AL East. This game will be televised on MLBN.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -112
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, June 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Blue Jays vs. Guardians series came right down to the end, as the Blue Jays rallied late but still fell short with the Guardians winning 6-3 at home. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -144 on the money line.
Ben Lively only went 5 2/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out.
Jose Berrios had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going just five innings and giving up five earned runs on six hits. He did finish the game with three strikeouts.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be on the road for today’s matchup vs. the Guardians, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which has dropped their record to 35-41. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, 15.5 games behind the Yankees for the lead in the division. So far, they are 9-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this year and 17-22 on the road. This season, they have been favored in 49 games, going 29-20 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Blue Jays are just 6-21 this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 9-11-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Guardians.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 21-18. They have been the favorite in 49 games, going 23-26 against the run line, while they are 11-16 as the underdog. The average run margin in their wins is 3.1, while it is -3.9 in their losses.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the Toronto Blue Jays’ road game against the Cleveland Guardians is slightly higher than their average combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season. The Blue Jays have played 73 games this season, and only 10.5% of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record for games with lines set at 8.5 runs is 7-15, and their overall over/under record for the season is 32-41.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Kikuchi has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kikuchi has a WHIP of 1.25 and has issued just 2.1 walks per nine innings. Coming into this game, he has a total of seven quality starts and is averaging 9.18 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kikuchi took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .232 this season, which is 16th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, home runs, and isolated power. However, they do have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league and are 6th in walks. Currently, the Blue Jays are 27th in the league at 3.8 runs per game.
Over his last nine games, Davis Schneider has gone 7/29 with three homers. This has pushed his season average to .227. Daulton Varsho and Schneider are the Blue Jays’ top two home run hitters this season, but both are batting below .230. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been hot of late, going 11/32 in his last 10 games and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 48-26 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL Central. They hold a 7.5 game lead over the Twins for the division lead. The Guardians have won four straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Guardians are 25-9 this year and 23-17 on the road. So far, they have gone 11-6 against other AL Central teams. Cleveland has won four straight games at home, and they are 3-1 as the home underdog this season.
When the Guardians win, they win big, as they have an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game in those contests. They are 43-31 on the run line this season, including a 20-14 mark at home. As the underdog, they are 18-7 on the run line. They are currently on a run line win streak of four games.
The Cleveland Guardians are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-33. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-11. Overall, 20.3% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.48. Looking at his overall numbers, McKenzie has a WHIP of 1.46 and has issued 5.37 walks per nine innings compared to 8.32 strikeouts. In his last outing, McKenzie took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. McKenzie has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.
So far this season, the Guardians offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Cleveland’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 3rd in the league in fewest strikeouts.
Josh Naylor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 in his last five games with two homers and seven RBIs. Will Brennan is also on a three-game hitting streak and is 8/19 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, Naylor and Jose Ramirez are tied for the team lead with 19 homers, with Ramirez also leading the team with 67 RBIs.