Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Pick & Prediction for 12/16

The Toledo Rockets will visit the Michigan State Spartans on Tuesday, December 16, 2025. The game will take place at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. This non-conference game features the Rockets from the Mid-American Conference against the Spartans from the Big Ten. The Rockets have a season record of 5-5, with a 1-3 record on the road. The Spartans are ranked #9 and have a strong 9-1 record, including 7-1 at home. Michigan State is the favorite with a spread of -23.5, while Toledo is the underdog with a spread of +23.5.
Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans Game Day Info
- Sport: College Basketball
- Teams: Toledo Rockets vs Michigan State Spartans
- Venue: Breslin Center, East Lansing MI
- Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 6:30 PM ET
- Betting Odds:
- Toledo Rockets Spread: +23.5 (-114)
- Michigan State Spartans Spread: -23.5 (-107)
- Toledo Rockets MoneyLine: +2466
- Michigan State Spartans MoneyLine: -10000
- Over: 151.5 (-111)
- Under: 151.5 (-113)
Toledo Rockets Team Preview
The Toledo Rockets have had a mixed start to their season with a record of 5-5. Their performance on the road has been a challenge, winning only 1 out of 4 away games. In their last outing, they lost to Robert Morris Colonials by 5 points with a score of 70-75.
Offensively, the Rockets score an average of 82.6 points per game. Their field goal percentage stands at 48.0%, and they average 6.9 three-pointers per game. The team shows strength in free throw shooting with a 78.7% success rate, ranking them 20th nationally.
Key players like Sonny Wilson and Austin Parks have been crucial in recent games. Wilson averages 15.9 points per game, while Parks contributes with 12 points and 5.3 rebounds on average. Sean Craig adds depth with an average of 13.8 points and 7.9 rebounds per game.
Michigan State Spartans Team Preview
Michigan State Spartans have been strong this season with a 9-1 record. They rank 9th in the AP poll and play in the Big Ten Conference. At home, they have a record of 7-1, showing their strength on their court.
The team’s offense scores 76.5 points per game and has a field goal percentage of 45.5%. They excel in rebounding, with 41.6 rebounds per game, ranking 37th. On defense, they average 6.5 steals per game.
Jaxon Kohler stands out with an average of 13.8 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Jeremy Fears Jr. leads in assists, averaging 9.7 per game. Their performance will be key in upcoming games.
BTB Betting Pick
For the spread pick, choose Toledo to cover the +23.5 point spread. The Rockets average 82.6 points per game, which is higher than Michigan State’s 76.5 points per game. This suggests Toledo can keep the game closer than the spread indicates. The Rockets’ offense, ranking 103rd in points per game, should help them stay within the spread.
For the over/under pick, select the under 151.5. Both teams have moderate scoring rates, with Toledo at 82.6 points per game and Michigan State at 76.5 points per game. The projected total score of 159.1 might seem high, but Michigan State’s slower pace of 65.0 possessions per game could lead to fewer scoring opportunities, making the under a safer choice.