Texas State Bobcats vs UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
This week 11 Sun Belt matchup between the Texas State Bobcats and UL Monroe Warhawks is set for 12:00 ET at Malone Stadium in Monroe. The Bobcats come in with a 4-4 record, while the Warhawks are 5-3 on the season. The over/under line is currently 48.5 points, and the Bobcats are the -7-point favorites on the road. The game can be seen on ESNU.
TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS UL MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats -7
This game will be played at Malone Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have the Texas State Bobcats winning this one by a score of 27 to 16
- Not only do we have the Texas State Bobcats winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7
- We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points
Will The Texas State Bobcats Win As Road Favorites?
Texas State enters Week 11 against UL Monroe with a 4-4 record, ranked 65th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 92.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 1.3% chance to win the Sun Belt. The Bobcats are 2-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
They’ve been favored in seven of their eight games, going 3-4 as the favorite. Texas State’s average scoring margin is +9.9 points per game, and they are 3-4 against the spread this year.
The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points, lower than any of their previous games. Texas State’s average over/under line has been 59.4 points, and their over/under record is 2-4-1, with games averaging 55.1 points.
Texas State’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game heading into week 11, placing them 32nd in the nation. Our offensive power rankings have them 49th. Quarterback Jordan McCloud has thrown for 1,974 yards and 20 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 107. The Bobcats rank 25th in passing completions, averaging 23.5 per game, and are 9th in completion percentage at 68.9%.
McCloud has thrown seven interceptions this season. On the ground, Texas State averages 186.4 rushing yards per game. Ismail Mahdi leads the rushing attack with 728 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Joey Hobert is the top receiver with 51 catches for 513 yards and seven touchdowns.
Texas State’s defense has allowed 22.6 points per game this season, ranking 28th nationally. In their recent game against Louisiana, they gave up 23 points, allowing 424 total yards, including 172 rushing yards and 252 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 144.2 rushing yards per game and 211.6 passing yards against Texas State, completing 56.6% of their passes. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 81.3 when facing the Bobcats’ defense.
Are The UL Monroe Warhawks Going Win In At Upset At Malone Stadium
UL Monroe enters Week 11 with a 5-3 record, hosting Texas State. The Warhawks are undefeated at home (3-0) but have struggled on the road (1-3). They rank 103rd in our CFB power rankings but have a 77.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they’ve been favored in just one game this season.
Against the spread, UL Monroe is 5-2, with a perfect 3-0 record at home. Their average scoring margin is -2.1 points per game, and they’ve gone 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 4-2 as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 48.5 points. UL Monroe’s games have averaged 46.4 points, with their over/under record at 4-3. Their average over/under line this season has been 48.1 points.
Heading into week 11, UL Monroe’s offense ranks 91st in our power rankings, averaging 22.1 points per game. Their passing game has struggled, with just 129.9 yards per game, placing them 123rd nationally. They are also converting only 33.6% of their third downs.
Aidan Armenta has thrown for 781 yards this season, with seven touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 86. On the ground, UL Monroe is averaging 179.9 rushing yards per game. Ahmad Hardy leads the team with 812 rushing yards and seven touchdowns.
UL Monroe’s defense has allowed 24.2 points per game this season, ranking them 38th nationally. In their recent game against Marshall, they gave up 28 points, including three rushing touchdowns, while allowing 371 total yards, with 205 yards coming on the ground.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 74.1 passer rating against UL Monroe, completing 56.4% of their passes for an average of 184.1 yards per game. The Warhawks have faced the 141st-ranked rushing defense, giving up 188.6 rushing yards per game.