Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

Max Scherzer will start for the Rangers on Tuesday, and they are facing off against the Cardinals, who will have Lance Lynn on the mound. This interleague matchup is taking place at 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures near 100 degrees.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at +102. The Rangers are 3rd in the AL West, while the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central. BSSW will be televising this one.
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline +102
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.
HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Rangers’ offense, they picked up a 6-3 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rangers were favored at -115 on the money line.
The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Nathan Eovaldi for the Rangers, and he went six innings while giving up three runs and picked up a win. Andre Pallante only went five innings for the Cardinals, giving up three earned runs and took the loss.
Texas got a big performance from Nathaniel Lowe, as he went 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Wyatt Langford also had a three-hit game and scored a run for the Rangers’ offense.
Rangers Records & Stats
Texas is 52-55 overall and trail the Astros by 3.5 games in the AL West. The Rangers are 13-16 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have gone 29-23 at home compared to a mark of 23-32 on the road.
So far, the Rangers have been good as the favorite, going 34-24 this year. As the underdog, Texas is 18-31. They have an overall series record of 15-18-1, and they have won six of their last ten games overall.
The Rangers have been a team to avoid on the run line this season, as they are just 47-60 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 24-31, but they have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 21-37. They have been outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game on the road, compared to outscoring opponents by 0.8 runs per game at home.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right on par with the Texas Rangers’ combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. The Rangers have played 76 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 20 of those games for a record of 20-16. Texas has hit the over in each of their last four games.
Texas is sending right-hander Max Scherzer to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA. In his last outing, Scherzer picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Scherzer has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed five homers and is averaging just 1.78 walks per nine innings.
Corey Seager has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Rangers, going 13/34 in his last nine games with a home run and two RBIs. Marcus Semien has also been a solid run producer of late, going 11/38 with two homers in his last nine games. Adolis Garcia comes into the game as the team’s leader in home runs (18) but is batting just .211 for the season.
Overall, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 14th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league. Currently, Robbie Grossman, Marcus Semien, and Corey Seager are all on hitting streaks.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 54-52 overall this season, and they are seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 16-16 in divisional games. The Cardinals have lost two straight series and have an overall series record of 17-14-3 this year.
At home, the Cardinals are 27-25 this season compared to 27-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 25-26 this year and 29-26 as the favorite. St. Louis has dropped two straight and are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
While the Cardinals have a losing record against the run line this season, they have been a more profitable bet as the underdog, going 33-18. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5 runs, while it drops to -3.6 runs in losses. Their overall run line record is 52-54, and they are 25-27 against the run line at home.
The St. Louis Cardinals are home today against the Texas Rangers with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 50-53. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-14. So far this season, 23 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 21.7% of their games.
Lance Lynn will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Pirates, he gave up just two hits and issued three walks. Lynn finished with a no-decision in the game. Looking back further, Lynn has turned in a quality start in six of his 20 outings this year. His ERA for the season is 4.17, along with a record of 5-4. Opponents have a batting average of .246 vs. Lynn this year. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 3.99.
St. Louis comes into today’s game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. So far, they have been even worse on the road, averaging only 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .309 is 14th in the MLB.
Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 18 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also leading the team with 60 RBIs and has a team-high batting average of .281. Nolan Gorman is right behind him with 19 homers, but he is hitting just .204 for the season. Over his last six games, Nolan Arenado has gone just 4/21, but two of those hits were home runs.