Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Islanders versus the Boilermakers? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on BTN. The game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Purdue as the -22 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 145.5 points.

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI ISLANDERS VS PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders +22

This game will be played at Mackey Arena at 6:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI ISLANDERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-68 in favor of the Boilermakers.
  • Even though we have Purdue winning straight-up, we like Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at +22.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Is a Win at West Lafayette Possible for the Islanders?

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Records

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi finished last season with a 17-11 overall record, going 14-5 in Southland Conference play. They were 9-4 at home and 8-7 on the road.

The Islanders were 18-9 against the spread, including an 11-3 mark on the road. Their games averaged 140.8 points, and they had an 11-17 over/under record.

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi averaged 75.5 points per game last season, but their offense ranked 343rd in possessions per game, indicating a slower pace. They shot 43% from the field, ranking 276th, with an effective field goal percentage of 48% (324th). The Islanders made 5.7 three-pointers per game, shooting 30% from beyond the arc, which ranked 358th nationally.

Garry Clark returns after averaging 13.2 points and 8.1 rebounds per game last season. Guard Dian Wright-Forde also returns, having averaged 10.4 points and 1.6 assists per game. Both players will be key contributors for the Islanders this season.

Last season, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi allowed 66.5 points per game, ranking 37th in the nation. They also held opponents to 27.7% shooting from beyond the arc, which was 49th in the country.

However, the Islanders struggled with fouls, allowing 22.5 free throws per game, ranking 304th. They averaged 8.8 steals per game, ranking 22nd, but were 260th in blocked shots, with 2.9 per game.

Can the Boilermakers Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Purdue Boilermakers Records

Purdue finished last season with a 29-4 record, going 18-4 in Big Ten play. They were dominant at home, posting a 20-1 record with an average scoring margin of +17.7 points. On the road, they went 9-3, with a +5.5 average margin.

The Boilermakers were 16-15 against the spread, and they went 27-4 straight-up as the favorite. They were 2-0 as the underdog. Their games averaged 153.5 points, and they had a 21-11-1 over/under record, with an average line of 147.9 points.

Purdue’s offense averaged 83.4 points per game last season, ranking 41st in field goal percentage (48%) and 38th in effective field goal percentage (55%). The Boilermakers were 24th in three-point shooting, hitting 40% of their attempts, and made 8.3 threes per game. They also ranked 7th in free throws made per game, averaging 18.

Braden Smith, who averaged 12.5 points, 7.3 assists, and 5.8 rebounds per game last season, returns as a key player for Purdue. Fletcher Loyer also returns after averaging 10.4 points per game.

Last season, Purdue allowed 70.2 points per game, ranking 114th in the nation. Opponents shot 31.4% from beyond the arc against them, placing Purdue 163rd in 3-point defense. They were disciplined defensively, allowing just 14.4 free throws per game, which was 30th in the country.

The Boilermakers averaged 3.8 blocked shots per game, ranking 118th nationally. However, they struggled to create turnovers, with only 5.7 steals per game, placing them 290th in the country.