Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24
SECN is set to broadcast this week eight college football matchup between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Kick-off is at 4:15 ET from Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Aggies are the heavy favorite at -14.5 points, with the over/under line currently sitting at 56.5 points. Texas A&M enters the game with a 5-1 record, while Mississippi State is looking to improve on their 1-5 season.
TEXAS A&M AGGIES VS MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +14.5
This game will be played at Davis Wade Stadium at 4:15 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS:
- We have the Texas A&M Aggies winning this one by a score of 36 to 25
- Even though we like the Texas A&M Aggies to win, our ATS pick is to take the Mississippi State Bulldogs at +14.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 56.5 points
Will The Texas A&M Aggies Win As Road Favorites?
Texas A&M enters Week 8 against Mississippi State with a 5-1 record, ranked 12th in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 6.1% chance of winning the Southeastern, according to projections. The Aggies are also 14th in the country with a 33% chance of making the CFB playoff.
The Aggies have been favored in five of their six games, going 4-1 as the favorite. They have a +14.3 average scoring margin this season, but their ATS record stands at 2-3.
This week’s over/under line is 56.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Texas A&M’s average over/under line has been 48.2 points, with their games averaging 47.7 points per contest.
Texas A&M’s offense is centered around their rushing attack, ranking 12th nationally with 233.2 yards per game. They are 17th in rushing attempts, averaging 40.8 per game. Le’Veon Moss leads the team with 609 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Overall, the Aggies are scoring 31 points per game, placing them 37th in the country, and they are ranked 26th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 8.
Quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown for 585 yards and six touchdowns without an interception. He has a passer rating of 103. Texas A&M is 108th in passing yards, averaging 181 per game. They are 74th in passing attempts and 66th in completions. Their third-down conversion rate is 41.9%, and Noah Thomas leads the receiving corps with 252 yards and two touchdowns.
Texas A&M’s defense has been strong this season, allowing just 16.7 points per game, ranking 13th nationally. They’ve given up 114.5 rushing yards per game and 203.5 passing yards, with quarterbacks posting a 68.9 passer rating and a 54.8% completion rate against them.
In their last game, the Aggies allowed just 10 points but gave up 461 total yards, including 231 rushing yards and 230 passing yards. They also forced 22 first downs but didn’t record any interceptions.
Are The Mississippi State Bulldogs Going Win In At Upset At Davis Wade Stadium
Mississippi State enters Week 8 with a 1-5 record, facing Texas A&M at home. They are ranked 59th in our power rankings and have just a 0.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Bulldogs are 0-2 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in only one game this year and have a -5.2 average scoring margin. Against the spread, Mississippi State is 2-3, going 2-1 on the road and 0-2 at home.
Their over/under record stands at 3-2, with an average line of 57 points. This week’s line is set at 56.5, and their games have averaged 61.2 points per contest.
Mississippi State’s offense is averaging 28 points per game heading into week 8, placing them 50th in the nation. They rank 61st in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is averaging 254 yards per game, ranking 46th, with 30.5 attempts and 18.8 completions per game. They have converted 41.7% of their third-down attempts.
Blake Shapen leads the Bulldogs with 974 passing yards and a passer rating of 117. He has completed 68.5% of his passes, throwing eight touchdowns and just one interception. Johnnie Daniels leads the ground game with 262 rushing yards. Kevin Coleman Jr. has 447 receiving yards on 36 catches.
Mississippi State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 33.2 points per game. In their recent game against Georgia, they gave up 41 points, including 609 total yards, with 459 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air, though they did manage two interceptions.
Opponents have averaged 263.8 passing yards per game against Mississippi State, completing 73.6% of their passes. The Bulldogs have also allowed 204.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 156th nationally.