Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/22/24

Carlos Rodon and the Yankees are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 59-42 and 2nd in the AL East. The Rays are starting Zack Littell and are 4th in the AL East with a record of 50-49. Tampa Bay is currently on a two-game winning streak.

New York is the favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -168 compared to the Rays at +142. Today’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSSUN.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -168

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:05 ET on Monday, July 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay picked up a 6-4 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a two-run lead after the first inning and never trailed in the game. Heading into the game, they were at +125 on the money line.

Shane Baz started for the Rays, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up four hits and striking out five. Garrett Cleavinger got the win out of the bullpen, and Pete Fairbanks got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

Jose Caballero and Jose Siri each homered for the Rays, while Aaron Judge went deep for the Yankees. Caballero, Siri, Randy Arozarena, and Richie Palacios each had two RBIs for Tampa Bay’s offense.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are 50-49 overall and trail the Orioles by 10 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 14-19 in AL East matchups. Tampa Bay has won two straight games, and they are 2-1 in the series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Rays are an even 27-27 this year, and they are 23-22 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 14-14 this season, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. They are also on a two-game winning streak as the road underdog.

When the Rays are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 27-18 on the season. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.

When the Tampa Bay Rays play on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-14. So far this season, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 11.1% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.

Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.26. Littell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Littell most recently pitched on July 13th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .236, which is 18th in the league. However, they do have a few guys who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Randy Arozarena, who is hitting .314 over his last nine games with four homers.

Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he leads the team with 16 home runs and is batting .255. Yandy Diaz is batting .273 and has driven in 46 runs, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Paredes also leads the team in RBIs, with 51.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees lost the first two games of this series vs. the Rays but were able to take the most recent game. Currently, they trail the Orioles by two games in the AL East. Overall, the Yankees are 59-42 this season, and they have gone just 17-21 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Yankees are 26-21 this season and 33-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 45-36 this year and 14-6 as the underdog. This season, the Yankees are 25-19 as the home favorite. So far, they have an overall series record of 17-10-3, and they have dropped five straight series at home. New York’s overall record is 4-6 across their last 10 games.

Despite a run line record of 22-25 at home, the Yankees have been a profitable team to bet on the run line at home, as they have a run line record of 53-48 overall. The Yankees have a run line record of 16-4 as an underdog, and their average run differential in winning games is 4.1 runs per game.

The New York Yankees are at home today against the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-45. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-17. So far this season, 22.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work and took the loss. Looking back over his last four outings, Rodón has given up at least two homers in three of them. Overall, he has a record of 9-7 and an ERA of 4.63. Opponents are batting .244 this season vs. Rodón. Out of his 20 starts, he has 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.42 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York has the league’s top two home run hitters, with Aaron Judge and Juan Soto having 35 and 23 homers, respectively. Judge is also leading the league with 89 RBIs, while Soto’s 67 RBIs are 6th best in the MLB.

Both Judge and Soto have been swinging the bat well of late, with Judge going 7/17 in his last six games with three homers, and Soto has gone 12/28 with a home run during that stretch. Giancarlo Stanton is also on a 10-game hitting streak for the Yankees.