Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/26/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Rays and Tigers is set to get started at 1:10 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers are currently on a four-game winning streak and are 84-74 overall, while the Rays have lost two straight and are 78-80.
Detroit is the heavy favorite on the money line today, with odds of -164 compared to the Rays at +139. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSSUN.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +139
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:10 ET on Thursday, September 26th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Detroit cruised to a 7-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring two of their seven runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -129 on the money line.
Keider Montero only went 2 2/3 innings for the Tigers but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Zack Littell was tagged for three homers and seven runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work for the Rays.
Parker Meadows, Spencer Torkelson, and Riley Greene each homered for the Tigers. Meadows had a huge game at the plate, going 3/5 with two runs scored and three RBIs.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are 78-80 overall, and they are 14 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Red Sox by 1.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games and are losing their series vs. the Tigers 0-2.
At home, the Rays have gone 42-39 this year, and they are just under .500 at 36-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 41-49 this season, and they are 37-31 when favored. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 24-19-7, and they have won two straight series.
When the Tampa Bay Rays have been favored on the run line this season, they have not been a good bet, going 24-44. However, as an underdog, they have been a solid play, going 57-33. Overall, they are 81-77 on the run line, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. That average run margin is slightly worse on the road at -0.5 runs per game, where they are 44-33 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7 runs per game, while it is -3.4 runs per game in losing games.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today to face the Detroit Tigers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 66-83. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-31. Overall, 55.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Tyler Alexander gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 appearances and eight starts. Alexander’s record for the season is 6-5, and he comes in with an ERA of 5.35. In his 102 2/3 innings of work, he has a WHIP of 1.27 and has given up a total of 23 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Alexander went 4 1/3 innings, giving up two hits, one walk, and one earned run. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing and didn’t give up a homer.
So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230, and their home run total of 146 is also near the bottom of the league. The team’s collective on-base percentage of .303 is also near the bottom of the league.
Yandy Diaz has been the team’s most consistent hitter this season, batting .282 with 14 home runs, which is 3rd on the team. He also leads the Rays with 65 RBIs. Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe are tied for the team lead in homers, but Morel is batting just .195, and Lowe is at .239. Morel is also 2nd on the team in RBIs.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is currently 84-74 overall and trails the Guardians by 7.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. So far, they have gone 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central.
As the home team, the Tigers are 41-36 this year, and they have gone 43-38 on the road. Detroit has won three straight games as the home team, and they are 25-18 as the home favorite this year. The Tigers’ overall series record is 25-20-5, and they have won five straight series.
When the Tigers are favored, they are 23-39 on the run line, but they are 62-34 as the underdog. Their run line record is 85-73 overall, and they have covered the run line in 51 of 81 road games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, compared to -3.4 in losing games.
Today’s over/under line for the Detroit Tigers game against the Tampa Bay Rays is set at 7.5 runs. The Tigers have played in 99 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.2 runs per game. They have an over/under record of 77-76 on the season, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-18.
Right-hander Reese Olson gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 3.49. So far, opponents are batting .234 off Olson this season. One of his best outings came on July 10th against the Guardians, where he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In his last outing, he went three innings and gave up one earned run, finishing with a no-decision. Olson has not taken a loss in his last three outings.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better on the road this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league and have a collective on-base percentage of just .299.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, with his 24 home runs and 73 RBIs both leading the team. His batting average of .264 is also the 3rd best mark in the lineup. Kerry Carpenter comes into the game with a team-high batting average of .285 and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers. Over his last seven games, Carpenter has gone 5/17 with two homers. Jace Jung is also on a four-game hitting streak.