Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/24/24
From Comerica Park in Detroit, we have the Rays and Tigers facing off in an AL matchup. The Tigers are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -181, while the Rays are at +152. Today’s over/under line is at 6.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 62 degrees with light rain.
First pitch for Tuesday’s matchup is set for 1:10 PM ET, and the Tigers will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. They are 82-74 and 3rd in the AL Central. Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays, who are 78-78 and 4th in the AL East. Tarik Skubal is expected to start for the Tigers. This game will be televised on BSDET.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 6.5 Runs
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 1:10 ET on Tuesday, September 24th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Rays Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Rays closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line. It was a big 2nd inning for the Rays, as they scored two runs to take the lead. Tampa Bay’s offense added another two runs in the 6th to close things out. The Blue Jays pulled to within one run with a 9th inning score, but the Rays were able to close things out and pick up the win.
Shane Baz put together a good start for the Rays, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out six Blue Jays batters. Jonathan Aranda had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Brandon Lowe had a big game, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Tampa Bay is on the road today to take on the Tigers with an overall record of 78-78. They have won four straight games, and they are 14.0 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they are 24-25 in divisional games.
The Rays have been good at home this year, going 42-39, and they are just under .500 at 36-39 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 41-47 this year and 37-31 when favored. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 24-19-7, and they have won two straight series.
The Rays are 43-32 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 56-32 vs. the run line as an underdog this season and have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play on the road, the over/under line is usually set higher than 6.5 runs. In fact, the over/under line has been set at 6.5 runs for just two of their 148 games this season. Despite the high O/U lines, their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-82. Currently, they are on a streak of five straight games going under the total.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Tigers on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 8-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Opposing batters have a batting average of .207 this season. In his 24 starts, Pepiot has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 9.74 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander’s ERA for the season is 4.07 on the road compared to 4.5 at home. Pepiot’s most recent outing came on September 18th, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on 12 strikeouts.
As a team, the Rays are batting just .231 this season, which is 20th in the league. They have also struggled to put up runs, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. Tampa Bay has been a little better at home, but their home and road scoring averages are both 3.8 runs per contest. The Rays have been good at working the count this season, as they are 9th in the league in walks.
Yandy Diaz has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .284 and has a team-high 65 RBIs. He also has 14 home runs, which is 4th on the team. Christopher Morel has a team-high 21 homers but is batting just .198 for the season. Jonathan Aranda has gone 8/25 in his last seven games, including three home runs.
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers are coming off a game in which they picked up a 4-3 win over the Orioles. This was especially big, as it came on the heels of a three-game losing streak. Detroit was the +107 underdog going into Baltimore. Offensively, the Tigers scored their four runs on only five hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers, going only two innings. He didn’t give up a run, but Detroit pulled him early, and he took the no-decision. Kerry Carpenter was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two homers and two RBIs.
Detroit is 82-74 overall and trails the Guardians by 7.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 3rd in the division, and they are 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Tigers have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games.
So far, the Tigers have been good at home and have gone 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Tigers have gone 36-24 this year and 46-50 as the underdog. Detroit’s overall series record is 25-20-5, and they have won five straight series overall and three straight series on the road.
When the Tigers are favored, they are just 22-38 vs. the run line, but as underdogs, they are 62-34. Their overall run line record is 84-72, and their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game. They are 33-42 vs. the run line at home, where they are scoring the same number of runs as their opponents. On the road, they are 51-30 vs. the run line with a +0.4 run differential.
The Detroit Tigers have had a high-scoring season, with their games averaging 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 77-75, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 6.5 runs, they have gone over in all three games. Overall, 97.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 6.5 runs.
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today and has been pitching well as of late. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Skubal has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has a record of 17-4 this season and an ERA of 2.48. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .94, and he has made 21 quality starts. Skubal’s ERA at home is 2.15, compared to 3.09 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, Kerry Carpenter is on a three-game hitting streak and has been hot at the plate for the Tigers, going 6/19 in his last eight games with three homers. For the season, Carpenter is batting .290, which is the best mark on the team, and his 17 homers is the second-best mark on the team. Riley Greene has gone deep 24 times this season, which is the most on the team, and he is also the team’s leader in RBIs with 72.
Overall, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting a collective .234, which is 18th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .299 is also one of the worst marks in the MLB. As a team, they are 17th in home runs and have the 18th best slugging percentage in the league.