Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/13/25

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Lightning versus the Flyers? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on NBCS. The game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. The Lightning are favored by -1.5 in this Eastern conference contest against the Flyers. The game’s over/under currently sits at 5.5 goals.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS PHILADELPHIA FLYERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Flyers +1.5
This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 13th.
WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA FLYERS:
- With the Lightning being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Lightning.
- Take the Lightning on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Flyers (+1.5)
Is a Road Win Possible for the Lightning?
Tampa Bay’s 7-4 loss to the Jets moved their record to 37-23-4. The Lightning held a 2-0 lead early, but Winnipeg’s offense took over, scoring seven times. Tampa Bay entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.
Four different Lightning players found the net, but their defense struggled, especially in the third period, where they allowed four goals. Tampa Bay’s last goal tied the game at 4-4 before the Jets pulled away with three unanswered scores.
Tampa Bay’s offense produced 4 goals on 30 shots in their 7-4 loss to the Jets. Brandon Hagel opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, while Brayden Point added his 8th, finding the net on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee scored his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov, who now has 10 goals this season, scored the Lightning’s final goal.
Tampa Bay’s offense recorded 8 giveaways and 4 assists. After taking a 2-0 lead in the first period, they added another goal in the second and tied the game 4-4 in the third before Winnipeg pulled away.
After tying the game at 4-4 in the third period, the Lightning’s defense gave up three straight goals—two of which were empty-netters—leading to a 7-4 loss to the Jets. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with a save percentage of 84.4%.
Can the Flyers Pull the Upset at Home?
Following a 3-0 loss to the Bruins, the Flyers are now 27-31-8. Philadelphia entered the game as underdogs on the puck line, with the total set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short of that mark.
Defensively, the Flyers struggled, allowing goals in each period. The Bruins scored their first goal at 6:32 in the first period, and added another in the second before sealing the win with an empty-net goal in the third.
Philadelphia’s offense was shut out in their 3-0 loss to Boston, managing 20 shots on goal but failing to find the back of the net. The Flyers were held scoreless through all three periods and recorded 15 giveaways.
None of the Flyers’ players scored, and they went without a single assist in the game. Philadelphia also came up empty on the power play.
Philadelphia’s defense gave up the first goal at 13:28 in the first period, and another at 11:23 in the second. The Flyers also conceded an empty-netter with 3:39 left in the third, leading to a 3-0 loss. Samuel Ersson made 8 saves with a 100% save percentage, while the defense totaled 5 takeaways and 30 hits.