Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Betting Pick & Prediction 10/30/24

Looking to win big? The Lightning and Avalanche face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Avalanche are hosting the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 6.5 goals, and the Avalanche are favored by -1.5 against the Lightning.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS COLORADO AVALANCHE BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5
This game will be played at Ball Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, October 30th.
WHY BET THE COLORADO AVALANCHE:
- In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Lightning winning this one 4-3.
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (-103)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Does Tampa Bay Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Tampa Bay moved to 6-3-0 with a 3-2 overtime win against the Predators. The Lightning, favored on the puck line, failed to cover. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined 5 goals fell short.
Leading 2-0 after the first period, the Lightning allowed the Predators to tie it up in the second. Nick Paul’s goal at 3:22 in overtime secured the win for Tampa Bay.
Brayden Point opened the scoring for Tampa Bay with his 6th goal of the season, while Mitchell Chaffee followed with his 3rd. Nick Paul netted his 3rd goal of the season as well, securing the Lightning’s 3-2 victory with an overtime winner.
Jake Guentzel added two assists, bringing his season total to 7. The Lightning fired 27 shots on goal but were held scoreless on the power play. They recorded 10 giveaways in the game.
Defensively, the Lightning will look to tighten up after allowing two goals in the second period of their last game against the Predators. However, they did keep Nashville off the scoresheet in the third period and overtime. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 35 saves with a 94.6% save percentage, while the defense added 13 blocks and 1 takeaway.
Can the Avalanche Offense Score Enough at Home?
Following a 5-2 loss to the Blackhawks, the Avalanche’s record now stands at 5-5-0. Colorado, favored by -1.5 goals, failed to cover the puck line. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, and the combined 7 goals surpassed that mark.
All of the Avalanche’s scoring came in the first period, but they also allowed three goals in the opening frame. The Blackhawks added two more in the third period, both empty-netters, to seal the game.
Casey Mittelstadt netted his sixth goal of the season, while Nathan MacKinnon followed with his fifth, which came on a power play. The Avalanche took 26 shots on goal but were held scoreless in the second and third periods.
Colorado recorded 17 giveaways and scored both of their goals in the first period, with Mittelstadt finding the net at 10:16 and MacKinnon adding another at 19:17.
Defensively, the Avalanche struggled in their previous game, giving up the first goal 8:47 into the first period and allowing three goals in the opening frame. They also gave up two more late goals, both empty-netters, in the final minute of the third period. Goalie Alexandar Georgiev made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.