Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Betting Pick & Prediction 3/11/25

Planning on watching today’s Lightning and Hurricanes game? Catch the action at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC, as the Hurricanes hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Hurricanes as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 5.5 goals.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS CAROLINA HURRICANES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
This game will be played at Lenovo Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 11th.
WHY BET THE CAROLINA HURRICANES:
- Even though they are 1.5 goal underdogs, we see the Lightning winning this game by a score of 4-3.
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+107)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Will Tampa Bay Find a Way to Win on the Road?
The Lightning fell to 37-22-4 after a 7-4 loss to the Jets. Tampa Bay’s defense struggled, giving up four goals in the third period. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the teams combined for 11, easily surpassing that mark.
Tampa Bay was the underdog on the puck line, and their defense couldn’t hold onto a 2-0 lead in the first period. Four different Lightning players scored in the game.
Brandon Hagel opened the scoring for the Lightning, netting his 7th goal of the season at 13:11 in the first period. Brayden Point followed with his 8th goal, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal in the second period, while Nikita Kucherov scored his 10th goal at 13:09 in the third.
Tampa Bay fired 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways in their 7-4 loss to the Jets. The Lightning had 4 assists, with Jake Guentzel picking up his 8th and Nick Paul earning his 7th on Chaffee’s second-period goal.
Tampa Bay’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 7 goals on 32 shots from the Jets. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with a save percentage of 84.4%. The Lightning had tied the game at 4-4, but their defense allowed 3 more goals, including two empty-netters, leading to a 7-4 loss.
Will the Carolina Defense Show Up at Home?
With a 4-2 win over the Capitals, the Hurricanes improved to 38-22-4. Carolina covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6 goals matched the pre-game line.
Carolina scored first, but the Capitals responded with two goals in the first period. The Hurricanes tied it up in the second and added two more, including an empty-netter, to secure the victory.
Carolina fired 45 shots on goal in their 4-2 win over Washington, with Dmitry Orlov netting two of the Hurricanes’ goals. Orlov scored his third goal of the season at 5:59 in the first period and added another at 14:34 in the second. Martin Necas, who now has 6 goals this season, scored at 17:31 in the second period and also picked up his 12th assist on Orlov’s second goal.
Andrei Svechnikov added an empty-net goal with 9 seconds left, giving him 6 goals this season. The Hurricanes had 14 giveaways and scored their first goal at 5:59 in the first period.
Carolina’s defense gave up two goals in the first period, but they tightened up after that, shutting out the Capitals in the 2nd and 3rd periods. Pyotr Kochetkov made 19 saves with a 90.5% save percentage, and the Hurricanes’ defense added 7 takeaways and 10 hits.