St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/4/25

The Tommies and Fighting Hawks are set to face off at 2:00 ET on Summ. The Fighting Hawks will host the game at Betty Engelstad Sioux Center in Grand Forks, ND. In this Summit matchup, St. Thomas (MN) is favored bt -5.5 vs. North Dakota. The over/under for the game is 159.5 points.
ST. THOMAS (MN) TOMMIES VS NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +5.5
This game will be played at Betty Engelstad Sioux Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE NORTH DAKOTA FIGHTING HAWKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 91-58 in favor of the Fighting Hawks.
- Not only will North Dakota pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 149 points.
Is a Win at Grand Forks Possible for the Tommies?
St. Thomas (MN) improved to 8-5 on the season with an 89-85 road win over North Dakota State on Thursday. The Tommies entered the game as +3 underdogs and not only pulled off the win but also covered the spread.
Leading 41-39 at halftime, St. Thomas scored 48 points in the 2nd half while allowing 46. The game’s total points reached 174, surpassing the O/U line of 150.5.
St. Thomas put up 89 points in their last game, shooting 54.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 66.7%. They hit 15 threes at a 46.9% rate, while connecting on 64% of their two-point attempts.
Jacksen Moni led the way with 25 points, shooting 57.1% overall and 66.7% from deep. Drake Dobbs also stood out, hitting 4 of 5 threes and finishing with 18 points and 4 assists.
St. Thomas (MN) struggled defensively, giving up 85 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 42% from the field. They allowed 13 made threes on 32 attempts, a 40% shooting performance from beyond the arc.
The Tommies sent their opponent to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 20 attempts, an 83% success rate. St. Thomas also gave up 16 offensive rebounds in the game.
Will the Fighting Hawks Come Through as Home Underdogs?
North Dakota dropped to 3-11 on the season after a 95-85 home loss to Omaha on Thursday. The Fighting Hawks were -4.5 favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread.
North Dakota trailed 45-34 at halftime but put up 51 points in the 2nd half while allowing 50. The game’s total points reached 180, surpassing the O/U line of 150.5.
North Dakota put up 85 points in their latest game, shooting 44.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.5%. They connected on 62.1% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 28.1% on 9 of 32 shooting. At the free-throw line, they made 22 of 30 attempts, good for 73.3%.
Marquel Sutton led the way with 27 points, shooting 62.5% overall and 66.7% from three. Mier Panoam added 24 points, despite missing all three of his three-point attempts, and also contributed 5 assists. Tony Osburn chipped in 20 points, hitting 3 of 7 from deep, while JJ White was perfect from three, making both of his attempts and finishing with 12 points and 6 assists.
Despite North Dakota’s defensive efforts, they gave up 95 points in their last game. The Fighting Hawks allowed their opponent to shoot 44% from the field, with 27 made field goals on 61 attempts.
North Dakota struggled to contain their opponent inside, giving up 62% shooting on two-point attempts (18/29). They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 30 times, where they converted 22 of those attempts (73%).